18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

17:20 Thirsk

Next Meeting Wednesday 1st July - Book Now Handicap

5f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 10 runners · £3,140 · Tuesday, 16 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 18/5·4.60
  1. 1st
    Crocus Time (IRE)AI top pick · 62.3
    Jack Nicholls·Ron Barr
    18/5·4.60
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Irish Dancer (IRE)
    Zak Wheatley·Declan Carroll·beaten 0.1 lengths
    28/1·29.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Dc Cogent (GB)
    Ben Robinson·Bryan Smart·beaten .75 lengths
    16/1·17.00
    SP
Race time
58.76s+2.46s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.60 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Crocus Time

Jack Nicholls(5) · Ron Barr · 5yo

Top-rated of 10
score 62.3 · +8.9 clear of next best (53.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=2)
    Ron Barr: 1/2 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    75strong
    Last 6: 1-3-0-1-1
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    12d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Ratings50% weight
    41below average
    OR 61
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Thirsk 5f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.22).

Low (1–4)
IV 0.73
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.08
High (9–11)
IV 1.22

Today: Westgate Warrior (draw 9) and Knicks (draw 11) get the bias; Irish Dancer (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 163 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
16
J: Jack Nicholls(5) · T: Ron Barr · draw 8
5yo · M · b
13011
6162.3
18/5·4.60
SP
210
J: Zak Wheatley(3) · T: Declan Carroll · draw 2
6yo · G · chtb
227318
5741.8
28/1·29.00
SP
31
J: Ben Robinson · T: Bryan Smart · draw 5
4yo · G · b
644368
6441.5
16/1·17.00
SP
47
J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 6
5yo · G · btb
26093
6141.2
7/1·8.00
SP
411
J: William Pyle · T: Ruth Carr · draw 10
4yo · G · b
49647
5632.6
18/1·19.00
SP
64
5yo · G · b
96753
6239.0
11/4F·3.75
SP
79
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 4
8yo · G · bp
080523
5937.6
4/1·5.00
SP
85
J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 1
4yo · G · ch
163420
6140.8
25/1·26.00
SP
92
J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 3
7yo · G · b
05710
6337.7
16/1·17.00
SP
103
J: Alistair Rawlinson · T: Roy Bowring · draw 9
4yo · G · b
42728
6349.1
5/1·6.00
SP
J: NON-RUNNER(5) · T: John Wainwright · draw 7
4yo · F · b
16P83
6053.4

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:20 Thirsk on 16 June 2026?

Crocus Time (IRE) won the 17:20 Thirsk at SP 4.60. Ridden by Jack Nicholls. Trained by Ron Barr.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:20 Thirsk?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Crocus Time, won the race (AI score 62.3).

What were the placings in the 17:20 Thirsk?

Top finishers: 1. Crocus Time (IRE) (4.60), 2. Irish Dancer (IRE) (29.00), 3. Dc Cogent (GB) (17.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:20 Thirsk?

The winning time was 58.76s, 2.46s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org