Who won the 15:05 Ascot on 16 June 2026?
Great Barrier Reef (IRE) won the 15:05 Ascot at SP 7.00. Ridden by Wayne Lordan. Trained by A P O'Brien.
15:05 Ascot
Coventry Stakes (Group 2)
6f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 21 runners · £113,420 · Tuesday, 16 June 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stGreat Barrier Reef (IRE)Wayne Lordan·A P O'Brien6/1·7.00SP
- 2ndAdaay Of Scarlett (IRE)Billy Loughnane·Hugo Palmer·beaten .5 lengths40/1·41.00SP
- 3rdRoyal Heritage (GB)AI top pick · 47.0James Doyle·Hamad Al Jehani·beaten 0.3 lengths12/1·13.00SP
Race time
1m 13.14s+1.14s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 12.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Confucius
Confucius arrives at Ascot having made rapid progress through his two Irish starts — a desperately unlucky narrow defeat on his first outing gave way to an emphatic victory over the extra furlong at Naas, and the step up to six furlongs clearly suits him well. His sire's progeny tend to relish fast ground and a high draw on this stiff straight track looks a positive, with the stable's impressive record in this type of contest adding further confidence. Stablemate Great Barrier Reef, unbeaten and impressive on his last start, is the most credible threat, while the classy Cut A Dash — who showed a sharp turn of foot on debut at York — and Adaay Of Scarlett give the home-trained contingent a genuine chance. Confucius, though provisional, heads the assessments and with the stable's first jockey in the saddle, he is the pick. **SELECTION: Confucius**
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Royal Heritage
James Doyle · Hamad Al Jehani · 2yo
Top-rated of 21
score 47.0 · +1.4 clear of next best (45.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=7)Hamad Al Jehani: 3/7 winners last 14d (43%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Form20% weight100very strongLast 6: 1
- Freshness10% weight70strong6d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Ratings50% weight0weakno Racing Post ratings on file
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ascot 6f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.19).
Low (1–8)
IV 1.07
Mid (9–15)
IV 0.72
High (16–22)
IV 1.19
Today: Final Objective (draw 18) and Ruler's Pride (draw 17) get the bias; Royal Heritage (draw 10) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 107 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 3 2yo · C · ch | 11 | — | 41.5 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 2 | 1 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 15 2yo · C · b | 112 | — | 34.8 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 3 | 16 | J: James Doyle · T: Hamad Al Jehani · draw 10 2yo · C · b | 1 | — | 47.0 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 4 | 6 | J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 19 2yo · C · b | 1 | — | 35.5 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 5 | 15 | J: Charles Bishop · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 21 2yo · C · b | 11 | — | 39.0 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 6 | 5 | J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 20 2yo · C · br | 21 | — | 38.5 | 2/1F·3.00 SP |
| 7 | 8 | J: Faleh Bughenaim · T: Hamad Al Jehani · draw 18 2yo · C · chh | 2 | — | 45.6 | 125/1·126.00 SP |
| 8 | 14 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: George Scott · draw 14 2yo · C · b | 21 | — | 36.0 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 9 | 12 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Clive Cox · draw 22 2yo · C · b | 322 | — | 34.5 | 125/1·126.00 SP |
| 10 | 13 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: Jack Jones · draw 12 2yo · C · b | 5 | — | 20.0 | 200/1·201.00 SP |
| 11 | 4 | J: Joe Leavy · T: Brian Meehan · draw 9 2yo · G · ch | 2 | — | 22.6 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 12 | 22 | J: Rowan Scott · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 1 2yo · C · b | 4 | — | 22.0 | 150/1·151.00 SP |
| 13 | 11 | J: Gavin Ryan · T: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien · draw 13 2yo · C · ch | 01 | — | 27.3 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 14 | 20 | J: Colin Keane · T: M D O'Callaghan · draw 11 2yo · C · b | 1 | — | 39.5 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 15 | 7 | J: Cristian Demuro · T: Michael Bell · draw 7 2yo · C · ch | 3 | — | 31.5 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 16 | 21 | J: Wesley Joyce · T: Michael Mulvany · draw 16 2yo · C · b | 421 | — | 33.2 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
| 17 | 17 | J: James McDonald · T: K R Burke · draw 17 2yo · C · b | 1 | — | 40.5 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 18 | 18 | J: Hector Crouch · T: Archie Watson · draw 6 2yo · C · b | 1 | — | 30.5 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 19 | 9 | J: William Buick · T: James Ferguson · draw 8 2yo · C · b | 1 | — | 43.5 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 20 | 3 | J: David Egan · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 4 2yo · C · b | 3332 | — | 28.9 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 21 | 19 | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 5 2yo · C · ch | 01 | — | 30.8 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| — | — | J: NON-RUNNER · T: Michael Mulvany · draw 2 2yo · C · b | 531 | — | 30.0 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:05 Ascot?
No — the AI top pick (Royal Heritage) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 15:05 Ascot?
Top finishers: 1. Great Barrier Reef (IRE) (7.00), 2. Adaay Of Scarlett (IRE) (41.00), 3. Royal Heritage (GB) (13.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:05 Ascot?
The winning time was 1m 13.14s, 1.14s slower than standard.
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