17:35 Ascot

Kensington Palace Stakes (Handicap) (Fillies & Mares)

1m · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 24 runners · £61,848 · Wednesday, 17 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 21th

1st
Alobayyah (GB)
Tom Marquand·William Haggas
11/4F·3.75
SP
2nd
Miss Nightfall (GB)
David Egan·James Fanshawe·beaten 0.3 lengths
12/1·13.00
SP
3rd
Seren Star (IRE)
Harry Davies·William Haggas·beaten .5 lengths
40/1·41.00
SP

Race time

1m 39.31s+0.41s vs std

On standard — typical pace for the course/distance.

AI top-rated Stateira (score 72.8) finished 21th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 7.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Rhapsody

Rhapsody shaped as the most progressive filly in training towards the end of last season, winning a York handicap over a trip just beyond this before signing off with a creditable third in an Italian Listed contest, and her powerful hold-up style looks tailor-made for a strongly run renewal over Ascot's stiff mile on good-to-firm ground. The long absence is the only question mark, but the stable clearly thinks plenty of her and her unexposed profile gives her a meaningful edge over most of this field. Zgharta, who ran with distinction at this meeting twelve months ago, and the progressive Alobayyah, who caught the eye finishing fast when arguably not given the clearest of passages last time, are the chief dangers, with Stateira's pattern-class form also commanding respect. **SELECTION: Rhapsody**

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Stateira

James Doyle · Andrew Balding · 4yo

Top-rated of 24

score 72.8 · +5.8 clear of next best (67.0)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
24d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
84very strong
Last 6: 1-2-1-1-3
Ratings50% weight
70strong
OR 105 — highest combined rating in the field
Trainer20% weight
55average
Andrew Balding: 11/49 winners last 14d (22%)

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ascot 1m

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–9)

IV 0.87

Mid (10–17)

IV 0.98

High (18–25)

IV 1.16

Today: Rumba Numba (draw 20) and Gaga Girl (draw 24) get the bias; Sand Gazelle (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 130 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	10	Alobayyah J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 16 4yo · F · b	1853	8-11	90	—	—	58.0	11/4F·3.75 SP
2	11	Miss Nightfall J: David Egan · T: James Fanshawe · draw 21 4yo · F · b	57095	8-10	89	—	—	53.3	12/1·13.00 SP
3	13	Seren Star J: Harry Davies · T: William Haggas · draw 18 4yo · F · chtFT T	15103	8-09	88	—	—	58.5	40/1·41.00 SP
4	9	Rhapsody J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 25 4yo · F · ch	98513	8-13	92	—	—	56.5	12/1·13.00 SP
5	16	Rumba Numba J: Jack Mitchell · T: Roger Varian · draw 20 4yo · F · b	61241	8-09	88	—	—	67.0	14/1·15.00 SP
6	23	Quamby J: Nicola Currie · T: David Simcock · draw 23 4yo · F · b	23344	8-02	81	—	—	53.9	66/1·67.00 SP
7	21	Callianassa J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Brian Ellison · draw 15 5yo · M · b	15576	8-02	81	—	—	43.5	33/1·34.00 SP
8	4	Cheshire Dancer J: Billy Loughnane · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 17 5yo · M · grp	14705	9-06	99	—	—	53.6	18/1·19.00 SP
9	5	Gaga Girl J: Christophe Soumillon · T: Gerald Mosse · draw 24 4yo · F · bt	64212	9-04	97	—	—	62.5	10/1·11.00 SP
10	6	American Gal J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 5 4yo · F · b	27779	9-04	97	—	—	56.1	33/1·34.00 SP
11	14	Crystal Flyer J: Ray Dawson · T: Ben Haslam · draw 2 5yo · M · bhFT H	56897	8-09	88	—	—	40.5	125/1·126.00 SP
12	12	Zgharta J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 6 4yo · F · b	75406	8-09	88	—	—	53.0	11/1·12.00 SP
13	8	Radiant Beauty J: Ryan Moore · T: James Owen · draw 14 5yo · M · b	11361	9-00	93	—	—	60.6	6/1·7.00 SP
14	22	Goldilocks Cen J: Luke Morris · T: Archie Watson · draw 22 4yo · F · b	6421	8-02	81	—	—	48.4	66/1·67.00 SP
15	17	All Moonshine J: Jason Watson · T: Andrew Balding · draw 12 4yo · F · b	3111	8-08	87	—	—	65.7	16/1·17.00 SP
16	2	Sand Gazelle J: William Buick · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 8 4yo · F · chbFT B	12776	9-07	100	—	—	59.5	33/1·34.00 SP
17	19	Unassuming J: Zac Lloyd · T: George Boughey · draw 7 6yo · M · bt	45059	8-07	86	—	—	42.6	25/1·26.00 SP
18	24	Lady Mariko J: Andrew Slattery · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 4 4yo · F · b	21606	8-02	81	—	—	41.8	80/1·81.00 SP
19	3	Muddy Mooy J: Edward Greatrex · T: Charlie Pike · draw 9 5yo · M · b	74235	9-07	100	—	—	55.6	33/1·34.00 SP
20	15	Oolong Poobong J: Jamie Spencer · T: Edward Bethell · draw 3 4yo · F · bt	2145	8-09	88	—	—	55.0	11/1·12.00 SP
21	1	Stateira J: James Doyle · T: Andrew Balding · draw 13 4yo · F · ch	12113	9-12	105	—	—	72.8	15/2·8.50 SP
22	18	Perfect Part J: Cam Hardie · T: Brian Ellison · draw 10 4yo · F · chp	04642	8-07	86	—	—	50.8	40/1·41.00 SP
23	7	Betty Clover J: Charles Bishop · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 11 4yo · F · gr	00554	9-02	95	—	—	53.5	33/1·34.00 SP
24	25	Renesmee J: Molly Keegan-Price(7) · T: Michael Keady · draw 1 6yo · M · bp	132526	8-02	81	—	—	49.8	150/1·151.00 SP
—	—	Song N Dance J: Saffie Osborne · T: S Woods · draw 19 4yo · F · b	21122	8-06	85	—	—	58.9	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:35 Ascot on 17 June 2026?

Alobayyah (GB) won the 17:35 Ascot at SP 3.75. Ridden by Tom Marquand. Trained by William Haggas.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:35 Ascot?

No — the AI top pick (Stateira) finished 21.

What were the placings in the 17:35 Ascot?

Top finishers: 1. Alobayyah (GB) (3.75), 2. Miss Nightfall (GB) (13.00), 3. Seren Star (IRE) (41.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:35 Ascot?

The winning time was 1m 39.31s, on standard time.

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