14:30 Ascot

Chesham Stakes (Listed Race)

7f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 15 runners · £70,888 · Thursday, 18 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner

1st
Nola Soul (USA)
Seamie Heffernan·J A Stack
11/2·6.50
SP
2nd
On Just Terms (USA)
Dylan Browne McMonagle·Joseph Patrick O'Brien·beaten .5 lengths
28/1·29.00
SP
3rd
Aperoll (GB)
Pat Dobbs·Richard Hannon·beaten 0.2 lengths
12/1·13.00
SP

Race time

1m 26.85s+1.05s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Aix La Chapelle

Aix La Chapelle shaped with real promise on debut, losing momentum briefly two furlongs out before staying on powerfully to win over this same trip, and that performance alone marks him out as a leading contender for a race his trainer knows well. The good-to-firm conditions at Ascot should suit, and with a dam boasting multiple Group 1 victories at a mile and a sire who landed the American Triple Crown, the pedigree strongly supports a step forward. Sea Venture, who caught the eye winning first time out, and the Johnston pair of Time For The Moon and Aperoll represent the chief dangers, though the former beat modest opposition and both newcomers have more to prove at this level. **Aix La Chapelle** is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Aix La Chapelle

Ryan Moore · A P O'Brien · 2yo

Top-rated of 15

score 42.0 · +3.5 clear of next best (38.5)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Form20% weight
100very strong
Last 6: 1
Freshness10% weight
100very strong
15d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
60average
A P O'Brien: 9/37 winners last 14d (24%)
Ratings50% weight
0weak
no Racing Post ratings on file

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ascot 7f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–5)

IV 0.87

Mid (6–10)

IV 0.98

High (11–15)

IV 1.16

Today: Nola Soul (draw 13) and Pikachu (draw 15) get the bias; Revels (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 130 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	3	Nola Soul J: Seamie Heffernan · T: J A Stack · draw 13 2yo · C · b	1	9-05	—	—	—	38.5	11/2·6.50 SP
2	4	On Just Terms J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 10 2yo · C · b	—	9-05	—	—	—	22.5	28/1·29.00 SP
3	13	Aperoll J: Pat Dobbs · T: Richard Hannon · draw 6 2yo · F · ch	1	9-00	—	—	—	36.0	12/1·13.00 SP
4	8	South Dakota J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 5 2yo · C · b	4	9-05	—	—	—	31.0	100/30·4.33 SP
5	5	Pikachu J: David Egan · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 15 2yo · C · b	2	9-05	—	—	—	31.6	20/1·21.00 SP
6	15	Sea Venture J: Daniel Tudhope · T: George Scott · draw 9 2yo · F · b	1	9-00	—	—	—	37.0	15/2·8.50 SP
7	7	Romanza J: James McDonald · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 14 2yo · C · b	4	9-05	—	—	—	20.0	22/1·23.00 SP
8	12	Whispering Moon J: Oisin Orr · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 8 2yo · C · b	3	9-05	—	—	—	27.0	40/1·41.00 SP
9	6	Revels J: Sam James · T: K R Burke · draw 2 2yo · C · ch	1	9-05	—	—	—	37.5	14/1·15.00 SP
10	11	Time For The Moon J: Billy Loughnane · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 12 2yo · C · b	31	9-05	—	—	—	30.3	20/1·21.00 SP
11	2	Celtic Charioteer J: Jonny Peate · T: James Ferguson · draw 4 2yo · C · ch	91	9-05	—	—	—	35.7	100/1·101.00 SP
12	14	Bayside J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Rod Millman · draw 11 2yo · F · b	316	9-00	—	—	—	23.2	125/1·126.00 SP
13	9	Sword Salute J: Rowan Scott · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 1 2yo · C · ch	31	9-05	—	—	—	33.3	66/1·67.00 SP
14	10	Sydney Carton J: Cieren Fallon · T: James Owen · draw 3 2yo · C · b	3	9-05	—	—	—	31.0	100/1·101.00 SP
—	1	Aix La Chapelle J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 7 2yo · C · b	1	9-05	—	—	—	42.0	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:30 Ascot on 18 June 2026?

Nola Soul (USA) won the 14:30 Ascot at SP 6.50. Ridden by Seamie Heffernan. Trained by J A Stack.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:30 Ascot?

No — the AI top pick (Aix La Chapelle) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 14:30 Ascot?

Top finishers: 1. Nola Soul (USA) (6.50), 2. On Just Terms (USA) (29.00), 3. Aperoll (GB) (13.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:30 Ascot?

The winning time was 1m 26.85s, 1.05s slower than standard.

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