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17:35 Ascot

King Edward VII Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings)

1m4f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £141,775 · Friday, 19 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP EvensF·2.00
  1. 1st
    Causeway (IRE)AI top pick · 76.8
    Ryan Moore·A P O'Brien
    EvensF·2.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Ancient Egypt (IRE)
    David Egan·Charlie Johnston·beaten 0.3 lengths
    10/1·11.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Water To Wine (FR)
    William Buick·John & Thady Gosden·beaten 10 lengths
    13/8·2.62
    SP
Race time
2m 28.74s−0.96s vs std

Faster than standard — genuine race tempo.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Water To Wine

Water To Wine arrives at Ascot unbeaten and with a significant reputation, having made a striking debut at Newbury — where he accounted for a rival who subsequently finished fifth in the Derby — before following up with an easy victory at Kempton, and connections regard him as a horse capable of operating at the very highest level. Ancient Egypt, more comfortable on quick ground than the soft he encountered in the Derby, and the progressive Causeway, who completed a four-timer in a Group 3 last month, represent the chief dangers, with Venetian Prince's Italian Derby form achieved on heavy ground leaving questions on this faster surface. Confidence is modest stepping into Group company, but the class edge looks clear. **Selection: Water To Wine**

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Causeway

Ryan Moore · A P O'Brien · 3yo

Top-rated of 5
score 76.8 · +4.6 clear of next best (72.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    27d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    96very strong
    Last 6: 4-1-1-1-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    72strong
    OR 108 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    58average
    A P O'Brien: 9/39 winners last 14d (23%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ascot 1m4f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.18).

Low (1–2)
IV 0.75
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.18
High (5–6)
IV 1.11

Today: Water To Wine (draw 3) and Venetian Prince (draw 4) get the bias; Golden Story (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 78 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 6
3yo · C · bp
41111
10876.8
EvensF·2.00
SP
21
J: David Egan · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 2
3yo · C · b
11718
10055.9
10/1·11.00
SP
36
3yo · C · b
11
10472.2
13/8·2.62
SP
44
J: Clifford Lee · T: K R Burke · draw 1
3yo · C · ch
131
10270.3
12/1·13.00
SP
55
J: Jason Watson · T: Andrew Balding · draw 4
3yo · C · chp
22401
10766.3
33/1·34.00
SP
J: Jamie Spencer · T: Oliver Cole · draw 5
3yo · C · bt
4241
9061.2

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:35 Ascot on 19 June 2026?

Causeway (IRE) won the 17:35 Ascot at SP 2.00. Ridden by Ryan Moore. Trained by A P O'Brien.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:35 Ascot?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Causeway, won the race (AI score 76.8).

What were the placings in the 17:35 Ascot?

Top finishers: 1. Causeway (IRE) (2.00), 2. Ancient Egypt (IRE) (11.00), 3. Water To Wine (FR) (2.62).

What was the winning time for the 17:35 Ascot?

The winning time was 2m 28.74s, 0.96s faster than standard.

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