Who won the 15:40 Ascot on 19 June 2026?
Opportunity (GB) won the 15:40 Ascot at SP 7.00. Ridden by James McDonald. Trained by William Haggas.
15:40 Ascot
Duke Of Edinburgh Stakes (Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)
1m4f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 17 runners · £61,848 · Friday, 19 June 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stOpportunity (GB)James McDonald·William Haggas6/1·7.00SP
- 2ndWarrant Holder (IRE)AI top pick · 68.8William Buick·John & Thady Gosden·beaten 1.75 lengths16/5·4.20SP
- 3rdRegal Ulixes (GB)P J McDonald·Andrew Balding·beaten 3 lengths22/1·23.00SP
Race time
2m 28.54s−1.16s vs std
Faster than standard — genuine race tempo.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.20 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Hopewell Rock
Hopewell Rock heads the field on our ratings and there is plenty to like about his chances on twelve furlongs of good-to-firm ground at Ascot. His third at Newmarket last time has been given an extra shine by the front two going on to fill the places in a high-profile race at this week's meeting, and the fact that James Doyle — who had other attractive options in this race — has chosen to ride him speaks volumes about confidence in the camp. Nightime Dancer, who finished just behind him that day on his own return from a gelding operation, rates a serious threat, as does the progressive Mondo Man, while Opportunity — a winner last time but now 8lb higher and drawn in stall one — may find that rise stretching his claims. Hopewell Rock is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Warrant Holder
William Buick · John & Thady Gosden · 4yo
Top-rated of 17
score 68.8 · +0.8 clear of next best (68.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight89very strongLast 6: 1-2-3-1-1
- Freshness10% weight85very strong35d since last run (fresh)
- Ratings50% weight70strongOR 105 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight38below averageJohn & Thady Gosden: 7/47 winners last 14d (15%)
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ascot 1m4f
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.18).
Low (1–8)
IV 0.75
Mid (9–15)
IV 1.18
High (16–22)
IV 1.11
Today: Plage De Havre (draw 15) and Emit (draw 13) get the bias; Opportunity (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 78 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | J: James McDonald · T: William Haggas · draw 1 4yo · G · b | 14931 | 100 | 68.0 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: William Buick · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 17 4yo · G · bt | 12311 | 105 | 68.8 | 16/5·4.20 SP |
| 3 | 18 | J: P J McDonald · T: Andrew Balding · draw 20 4yo · G · chh | 61647 | 98 | 57.3 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Ryan Moore · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 13 4yo · G · bt | 24354 | 104 | 60.9 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 5 | 9 | J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 4 4yo · G · bt | 16398 | 101 | 54.4 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 6 | 10 | J: James Doyle · T: George Boughey · draw 8 4yo · G · b | 32293 | 101 | 57.5 | 3/1F·4.00 SP |
| 7 | 16 | J: Neil Callan · T: George Baker · draw 19 4yo · G · b | 11777 | 99 | 52.9 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 8 | 2 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: James Owen · draw 12 5yo · G · bpFT P | 44846 | 105 | 53.9 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 9 | 12 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 7 5yo · G · bb | 230557 | 100 | 49.6 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 10 | 1 | J: Luke Morris · T: James Owen · draw 11 6yo · G · b | 62937 | 105 | 56.8 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 11 | 8 | J: Jamie Spencer · T: Hamad Al Jehani · draw 22 5yo · G · b | 80316 | 102 | 56.2 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 12 | 13 | J: David Egan · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 9 4yo · G · b | 7060 | 99 | 46.0 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 13 | 14 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Alan King · draw 3 6yo · G · b | 32202 | 99 | 66.2 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 14 | 7 | J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 18 4yo · G · b | 38244 | 102 | 57.6 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 15 | 19 | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Mike Murphy · draw 6 4yo · C · brt | 45001 | 96 | 59.1 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 16 | 3 | J: Christophe Soumillon · T: Gary & Josh Moore · draw 10 5yo · G · ch | 5474 | 105 | 51.4 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| PU | 17 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 5 7yo · G · ch | 73535 | 98 | 56.4 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Colin Keane · T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore · draw 21 5yo · G · b | 18017 | 99 | 50.4 | — |
| — | — | J: NON-RUNNER · T: Andrew Balding · draw 15 5yo · G · ch | P3163 | 102 | 62.2 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:40 Ascot?
No — the AI top pick (Warrant Holder) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 15:40 Ascot?
Top finishers: 1. Opportunity (GB) (7.00), 2. Warrant Holder (IRE) (4.20), 3. Regal Ulixes (GB) (23.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:40 Ascot?
The winning time was 2m 28.54s, 1.16s faster than standard.
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