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14:30

Ascot

Great Britain

Norfolk Stakes (Group 2)

Saturday, 20 June 2026

5f·Flat·Class 1·Good To Firm·21 runners·£99,243
Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 15th
  1. 1st
    Orthodox (GB)
    Rossa Ryan·Clive Cox
    9/2·5.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    El Floridita (GB)
    Rowan Scott·Nigel Tinkler·beaten 3.5 lengths
    150/1·151.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Mussab (GB)
    Colin Keane·Richard & Peter Fahey·beaten 0.3 lengths
    66/1·67.00
    SP
Race time
59.42s+0.22s vs std

On standard — typical pace for the course/distance.

AI top-rated Underdog (score 47.0) finished 15th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 40.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Selections by model

Head-to-head dashboard →
v1.047.0/100 rating
Underdog
46.00SmarketsSBK· informational only

Top-rated, but filter rejects this race

v1.1
No pick

Race outside the segment-edge filter

Each-way34.0/100 rating
Ez Tina
10.50Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Underdog

Saffie Osborne · Richard Spencer · 2yo

47.0/100
+9.4 vs next best (37.6)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100very strong
    Richard Spencer: 8/19 winners last 14d (42%)
  • Form20% weight
    100very strong
    Last 6: 1
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    8d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 46.00 (SmarketsSBK) — 14th pick of 21 in market. AI is contrarian here.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners

Pos#DrHorseJockey / TrainerFormWtORRPRTSAISP
811
2yo · C · b
61
9-0325.7
40/1·41.00
SP
10212
2yo · C · b
26
9-0319.4
150/1·151.00
SP
9313
2yo · C · b
212
9-0337.6
5/2F·3.50
SP
248
2yo · C · b
51
9-0325.3
150/1·151.00
SP
2056
2yo · C · b
1
9-0328.5
22/1·23.00
SP
17619
2yo · C · bbFT B
21
9-0329.5
7/1·8.00
SP
772
2yo · C · bvFT V
4176
9-0325.9
100/1·101.00
SP
3814
2yo · C · br
3
9-0326.5
66/1·67.00
SP
2199
2yo · C · brhFT H
134
9-0330.8
50/1·51.00
SP
11016
2yo · C · b
1
9-0333.0
9/2·5.50
SP
181110
2yo · C · b
51
9-0330.3
33/1·34.00
SP
191220
2yo · C · b
2
9-0331.1
11/1·12.00
SP
41318
2yo · C · b
1
9-0330.0
33/1·34.00
SP
111417
2yo · C · b
31
9-0330.8
100/1·101.00
SP
13157
2yo · C · b
13
9-0330.7
14/1·15.00
SP
14165
2yo · C · b
1
9-0333.0
33/1·34.00
SP
151721
2yo · C · b
1
9-0347.0
40/1·41.00
SP
12184
2yo · C · b
11
9-0330.0
12/1·13.00
SP
6193
2yo · F · chb
1
9-0034.0
12/1·13.00
SP
52011
2yo · F · chb
1
9-0034.0
13/2·7.50
SP
162115
2yo · F · bb
21
9-0032.5
25/1·26.00
SP

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:30 Ascot on 20 June 2026?

Orthodox (GB) won the 14:30 Ascot at SP 5.50. Ridden by Rossa Ryan. Trained by Clive Cox.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:30 Ascot?

No — the AI top pick (Underdog) finished 15.

What were the placings in the 14:30 Ascot?

Top finishers: 1. Orthodox (GB) (5.50), 2. El Floridita (GB) (151.00), 3. Mussab (GB) (67.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:30 Ascot?

The winning time was 59.42s, on standard time.

Racing Post verdict

Third-party

Carry The Flag heads the market on a rating shared with Where Love Lives, but his recent Group 3 second at the Curragh — where he was beaten only by the subsequent high-class juvenile winner — reads as strong form heading into this competitive five-furlong dash on good-to-firm ground at Ascot. The experience he brings to a large field of 21 could prove a telling advantage, and his consistency at the top level makes him a worthy pick to go one better here. Where Love Lives, whose debut win has been given a solid boost by subsequent events, is the chief threat from the home team, while Fanshell Beach and Star Prospect — the latter's suitability to the faster surface a slight unknown — complete the main dangers. **Carry The Flag** is our selection, though this is a fiercely competitive heat and the confidence level is modest.

Racing Post pick: Carry The Flag

Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org