Who won the 14:30 Ascot on 20 June 2026?
Orthodox (GB) won the 14:30 Ascot at SP 5.50. Ridden by Rossa Ryan. Trained by Clive Cox.
14:30 Ascot
Norfolk Stakes (Group 2)
5f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 21 runners · £99,243 · Saturday, 20 June 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 15thRace report
- 1stOrthodox (GB)Rossa Ryan·Clive Cox9/2·5.50SP
- 2ndEl Floridita (GB)Rowan Scott·Nigel Tinkler·beaten 3.5 lengths150/1·151.00SP
- 3rdMussab (GB)Colin Keane·Richard & Peter Fahey·beaten 0.3 lengths66/1·67.00SP
Race time
59.42s+0.22s vs std
On standard — typical pace for the course/distance.
AI top-rated Underdog (score 47.0) finished 15th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 40.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Carry The Flag
Carry The Flag heads the market on a rating shared with Where Love Lives, but his recent Group 3 second at the Curragh — where he was beaten only by the subsequent high-class juvenile winner — reads as strong form heading into this competitive five-furlong dash on good-to-firm ground at Ascot. The experience he brings to a large field of 21 could prove a telling advantage, and his consistency at the top level makes him a worthy pick to go one better here. Where Love Lives, whose debut win has been given a solid boost by subsequent events, is the chief threat from the home team, while Fanshell Beach and Star Prospect — the latter's suitability to the faster surface a slight unknown — complete the main dangers. **Carry The Flag** is our selection, though this is a fiercely competitive heat and the confidence level is modest.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Underdog
Saffie Osborne · Richard Spencer · 2yo
Top-rated of 21
score 47.0 · +9.4 clear of next best (37.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100very strongRichard Spencer: 8/19 winners last 14d (42%)
- Form20% weight100very strongLast 6: 1
- Freshness10% weight70strong8d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Ratings50% weight0weakno Racing Post ratings on file
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ascot 5f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.19).
Low (1–7)
IV 1.07
Mid (8–14)
IV 0.72
High (15–21)
IV 1.19
Today: Underdog (draw 21) and Orthodox (draw 16) get the bias; Carry The Flag (draw 13) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 107 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Clive Cox · draw 16 2yo · C · b | 1 | — | 33.0 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Rowan Scott · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 8 2yo · C · b | 51 | — | 25.3 | 150/1·151.00 SP |
| 3 | 8 | J: Colin Keane · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 14 2yo · C · br | 3 | — | 26.5 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 4 | 13 | J: William Buick · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 18 2yo · C · b | 1 | — | 30.0 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 5 | 20 | J: James McDonald · T: Wesley A Ward · draw 11 2yo · F · chb | 1 | — | 34.0 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 6 | 19 | J: Juan J Hernandez · T: Wesley A Ward · draw 3 2yo · F · chb | 1 | — | 34.0 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 7 | 7 | J: Ray Dawson · T: Oli Rix · draw 2 2yo · C · bvFT V | 4176 | — | 25.9 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 8 | 1 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Richard Hughes · draw 1 2yo · C · b | 61 | — | 25.7 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 9 | 3 | J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 13 2yo · C · b | 212 | — | 37.6 | 5/2F·3.50 SP |
| 10 | 2 | J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 12 2yo · C · b | 26 | — | 19.4 | 150/1·151.00 SP |
| 11 | 14 | J: Jason Watson · T: Charles Hills · draw 17 2yo · C · b | 31 | — | 30.8 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 12 | 18 | J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 4 2yo · C · b | 11 | — | 30.0 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 13 | 15 | J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 7 2yo · C · b | 13 | — | 30.7 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 14 | 16 | J: Donagh O'Connor · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 5 2yo · C · b | 1 | — | 33.0 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 15 | 17 | J: Saffie Osborne · T: Richard Spencer · draw 21 2yo · C · b | 1 | — | 47.0 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 16 | 21 | J: John R Velazquez · T: Wesley A Ward · draw 15 2yo · F · bb | 21 | — | 32.5 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 17 | 6 | J: David Egan · T: Kevin Philippart De Foy · draw 19 2yo · C · bbFT B | 21 | — | 29.5 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 18 | 11 | J: Jamie Spencer · T: Richard Hannon · draw 10 2yo · C · b | 51 | — | 30.3 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 19 | 12 | J: Tom Marquand · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 20 2yo · C · b | 2 | — | 31.1 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 20 | 5 | J: James Doyle · T: Archie Watson · draw 6 2yo · C · b | 1 | — | 28.5 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 21 | 9 | J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 9 2yo · C · brhFT H | 134 | — | 30.8 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:30 Ascot?
No — the AI top pick (Underdog) finished 15.
What were the placings in the 14:30 Ascot?
Top finishers: 1. Orthodox (GB) (5.50), 2. El Floridita (GB) (151.00), 3. Mussab (GB) (67.00).
What was the winning time for the 14:30 Ascot?
The winning time was 59.42s, on standard time.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org