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18:15 Ffos Las

Carmarthenshire Hunt Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Bands C and D) (GBB Race)

5f · Flat · Class 5 · Soft · 5 runners · £4,320 · Wednesday, 17 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Tango Hotel (GB)
    Liam Wright·George Scott
    7/4F·2.75
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Defiant Dream (GB)
    Tyler Heard·Mark Usher·beaten 2.25 lengths
    50/1·51.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Past Passion (GB)
    Callum Hutchinson·Jonathan Portman·beaten 0.3 lengths
    11/4·3.75
    SP
Race time
1m 1.77s+6.17s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

AI top-rated Cavan Lady (score 22.0) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.12 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Cavan Lady

Finley Marsh · Richard Hughes · 2yo

Top-rated of 5
score 22.0 · +2.1 clear of next best (19.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    10d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Form20% weight
    60average
    Last 6: 3
  • Trainer20% weight
    15weak
    Richard Hughes: 2/36 winners last 14d (6%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ffos Las 5f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.27).

Low (1–2)
IV 0.81
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.27
High (5–6)
IV 0.97

Today: Past Passion (draw 3) and Nasserein (draw 4) get the bias; Cavan Lady (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 40 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
J: Liam Wright(5) · T: George Scott · draw 5
2yo · F · bpFT P
45
19.0
7/4F·2.75
SP
24
J: Tyler Heard · T: Mark Usher · draw 1
2yo · F · bpFT P
9
12.7
50/1·51.00
SP
36
2yo · F · ch
72
19.9
11/4·3.75
SP
41
J: Finley Marsh · T: Richard Hughes · draw 2
2yo · F · b
3
22.0
85/40·3.12
SP
52
2yo · F · b
5
18.0
13/2·7.50
SP
J: Rose Dawes(5) · T: Mark Usher · draw 6
2yo · F · b
0
11.5

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:15 Ffos Las on 17 June 2026?

Tango Hotel (GB) won the 18:15 Ffos Las at SP 2.75. Ridden by Liam Wright. Trained by George Scott.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:15 Ffos Las?

No — the AI top pick (Cavan Lady) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 18:15 Ffos Las?

Top finishers: 1. Tango Hotel (GB) (2.75), 2. Defiant Dream (GB) (51.00), 3. Past Passion (GB) (3.75).

What was the winning time for the 18:15 Ffos Las?

The winning time was 1m 1.77s, 6.17s slower than standard.

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