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RacingAlpha

18:30 Ripon

Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Leeds Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 5 runners · £5,234 · Wednesday, 17 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 8/15F·1.53
  1. 1st
    Grasmere Boy (GB)AI top pick · 33.1
    Ryan Sexton·Julie Camacho
    8/15F·1.53
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Kilfrush Desert (IRE)
    Tom Eaves·Kevin Ryan·beaten 2.75 lengths
    3/1·4.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Masai Angel (FR)
    Billy Garritty·Richard & Peter Fahey·beaten 3.75 lengths
    5/1·6.00
    SP
Race time
1m 11.45s+2.55s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.53 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Grasmere Boy

Ryan Sexton · Julie Camacho · 3yo

Top-rated of 5
score 33.1 · +7.2 clear of next best (25.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    18d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    78strong
    Last 6: 2-2
  • Trainer20% weight
    38below average
    Julie Camacho: 4/26 winners last 14d (15%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ripon 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 0.94
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.15
High (5–5)
IV 0.93

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 162 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
Grasmere Boy
J: Ryan Sexton · T: Julie Camacho · draw 5
3yo · G · b
22
—33.1
8/15F·1.53
SP
25
Kilfrush Desert
J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 4
3yo · F · b
32
—25.9
3/1·4.00
SP
34
Masai Angel
J: Billy Garritty · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 2
3yo · G · b
54
—20.5
5/1·6.00
SP
43
Likeadyinwasp
J: Zak Wheatley · T: Declan Carroll · draw 1
3yo · G · b
566
—17.8
40/1·41.00
SP
52
Kilfrush Blue
J: James Sullivan · T: Ruth Carr · draw 3
3yo · G · b
89
—12.0
50/1·51.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:30 Ripon on 17 June 2026?

Grasmere Boy (GB) won the 18:30 Ripon at SP 1.53. Ridden by Ryan Sexton. Trained by Julie Camacho.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:30 Ripon?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Grasmere Boy, won the race (AI score 33.1).

What were the placings in the 18:30 Ripon?

Top finishers: 1. Grasmere Boy (GB) (1.53), 2. Kilfrush Desert (IRE) (4.00), 3. Masai Angel (FR) (6.00).

What was the winning time for the 18:30 Ripon?

The winning time was 1m 11.45s, 2.55s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org