18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

18:35 Lingfield

Gatwick Kia PV5 Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

1m3½f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 7 runners · £5,400 · Thursday, 18 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 4/6F·1.67
  1. 1st
    Cape Fear (GB)AI top pick · 60.0
    Callum Hutchinson·Andrew Balding
    4/6F·1.67
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Al Maslool (GB)
    Darragh Keenan·William Haggas·beaten 2 lengths
    9/2·5.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Garrincha (FR)
    Pat Cosgrave·Jonjo & A J O'Neill·beaten 9 lengths
    11/2·6.50
    SP
Race time
2m 29.94s+3.44s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.67 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Cape Fear

Callum Hutchinson · Andrew Balding · 3yo

Top-rated of 7
score 60.0 · +14.2 clear of next best (45.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    23d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    68strong
    Last 6: 5-3-2-3-2
  • Trainer20% weight
    53average
    Andrew Balding: 12/57 winners last 14d (21%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    52average
    OR 78 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Lingfield 1m3½f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.14).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.14
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.88
High (6–7)
IV 0.96

Today: Cape Fear (draw 2) and Joanna Hiffernan (draw 1) get the bias; Al Maslool (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 64 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
3yo · C · ch
53232
7860.0
4/6F·1.67
SP
23
J: Darragh Keenan · T: William Haggas · draw 5
3yo · G · grpFT P
53750
7145.9
9/2·5.50
SP
31
4yo · G · b
18.5
11/2·6.50
SP
42
J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Owen Burrows · draw 1
4yo · F · b
64
36.3
10/1·11.00
SP
57
3yo · F · b
33
24.5
40/1·41.00
SP
66
J: George Wood · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 7
3yo · C · b
21.0
11/1·12.00
SP
74
3yo · G · gr
18.5
28/1·29.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:35 Lingfield on 18 June 2026?

Cape Fear (GB) won the 18:35 Lingfield at SP 1.67. Ridden by Callum Hutchinson. Trained by Andrew Balding.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:35 Lingfield?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Cape Fear, won the race (AI score 60.0).

What were the placings in the 18:35 Lingfield?

Top finishers: 1. Cape Fear (GB) (1.67), 2. Al Maslool (GB) (5.50), 3. Garrincha (FR) (6.50).

What was the winning time for the 18:35 Lingfield?

The winning time was 2m 29.94s, 3.44s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org