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RacingAlpha

19:17 Ayr

Tennent's Lager Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m2f · Flat · Class 4 · Soft · 10 runners · £6,281 · Friday, 19 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 9th
  1. 1st
    Star Cast (GB)
    Jake Dickson·Gemma Tutty
    13/8F·2.62
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Mr Lincoln (GB)
    Andrew Mullen·Iain Jardine·beaten 2.25 lengths
    10/1·11.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Pol Roger (IRE)
    Rhys Elliott·Michael Dods·beaten .75 lengths
    15/2·8.50
    SP
Race time
2m 11.10s+6.10s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

AI top-rated Sanafi Zabeel (score 55.3) finished 9th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Sanafi Zabeel

Lauren Young(5) · Jim Goldie · 5yo

Top-rated of 10
score 55.3 · +2.0 clear of next best (53.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    23d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    74strong
    Last 6: 2-1-5-3-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    44below average
    OR 66
  • Trainer20% weight
    43below average
    Jim Goldie: 6/36 winners last 14d (17%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ayr 1m2f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.20).

Low (1–4)
IV 0.76
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.06
High (8–10)
IV 1.20

Today: Cisco Disco (draw 10) and Obito (draw 9) get the bias; Sanafi Zabeel (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 57 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
J: Jake Dickson(7) · T: Gemma Tutty · draw 6
4yo · F · b
311321
7551.5
13/8F·2.62
SP
25
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 4
6yo · G · gr
02886
7442.0
10/1·11.00
SP
38
J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Michael Dods · draw 8
6yo · G · bp
90882
7044.5
15/2·8.50
SP
46
J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 1
5yo · G · bp
62200
7346.8
13/2·7.50
SP
51
J: David Nolan · T: David O'Meara · draw 9
4yo · G · bh
22682
8052.3
4/1·5.00
SP
67
J: Amie Waugh(3) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 5
8yo · G · bp
44800
7144.4
50/1·51.00
SP
72
J: Oisin McSweeney · T: R Mike Smith · draw 10
8yo · G · b
51118
7753.2
28/1·29.00
SP
89
J: Billy Garritty · T: Martin Todhunter · draw 7
9yo · G · gr
73204
6935.4
25/1·26.00
SP
910
J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 3
5yo · G · ch
21531
6655.3
9/2·5.50
SP
103
J: Cam Hardie · T: Barry Murtagh · draw 2
4yo · G · cht
13500
7539.1
150/1·151.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:17 Ayr on 19 June 2026?

Star Cast (GB) won the 19:17 Ayr at SP 2.62. Ridden by Jake Dickson. Trained by Gemma Tutty.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:17 Ayr?

No — the AI top pick (Sanafi Zabeel) finished 9.

What were the placings in the 19:17 Ayr?

Top finishers: 1. Star Cast (GB) (2.62), 2. Mr Lincoln (GB) (11.00), 3. Pol Roger (IRE) (8.50).

What was the winning time for the 19:17 Ayr?

The winning time was 2m 11.10s, 6.10s slower than standard.

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