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RacingAlpha

18:40 Ayr

Millar Callaghan Engineering Handicap

7f · Flat · Class 5 · Soft · 8 runners · £4,711 · Friday, 19 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    The Gay Blade (GB)
    Andrew Mullen·Iain Jardine
    17/2·9.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Glorious Kitty (IRE)AI top pick · 55.4
    Lewis Chalkley·Michael & David Easterby·beaten 1.75 lengths
    7/2·4.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Ashen (IRE)
    Paul Mulrennan·Jim Goldie·beaten 0.3 lengths
    11/4F·3.75
    SP
Race time
1m 31.57s+4.97s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Glorious Kitty

Lewis Chalkley(7) · Michael & David Easterby · 4yo

Top-rated of 8
score 55.4 · +5.0 clear of next best (50.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    21d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    77strong
    Last 6: 9-2-5-1-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    46below average
    OR 69 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    35below average
    Michael & David Easterby: 5/35 winners last 14d (14%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ayr 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 1.06
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.92
High (8–10)
IV 1.01

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 140 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
17
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 9
7yo · G · b
412611
6547.5
17/2·9.50
SP
22
4yo · F · b
92511
6955.4
7/2·4.50
SP
35
J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 5
4yo · G · ch
77731
6750.4
11/4F·3.75
SP
48
J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Iain Jardine · draw 3
7yo · G · gr
658523
6440.7
100/30·4.33
SP
51
J: Ryan Sexton · T: Katie Scott · draw 8
5yo · G · br
30442
6943.7
7/2·4.50
SP
63
J: Jake Dickson(7) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 2
4yo · G · chp
90007
6939.6
14/1·15.00
SP
76
J: Billy Garritty · T: Liam Bailey · draw 6
5yo · G · btpFT TP
935685
6640.5
18/1·19.00
SP
810
J: Finlay Bassett(7) · T: Linda Perratt · draw 4
4yo · G · b
70586
6027.8
80/1·81.00
SP
J: David Nolan · T: David O'Meara · draw 1
6yo · G · chp
736063
6843.4
J: Sean Kirrane · T: Michael Dods · draw 7
5yo · G · b
69688
6238.1

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:40 Ayr on 19 June 2026?

The Gay Blade (GB) won the 18:40 Ayr at SP 9.50. Ridden by Andrew Mullen. Trained by Iain Jardine.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:40 Ayr?

No — the AI top pick (Glorious Kitty) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 18:40 Ayr?

Top finishers: 1. The Gay Blade (GB) (9.50), 2. Glorious Kitty (IRE) (4.50), 3. Ashen (IRE) (3.75).

What was the winning time for the 18:40 Ayr?

The winning time was 1m 31.57s, 4.97s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org