19:52 Ayr

Outcider Handicap

1m · Flat · Class 6 · Soft · 9 runners · £4,187 · Friday, 19 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th

1st
Hunterian (IRE)
Andrew Mullen·Charlie Johnston
3/1F·4.00
SP
2nd
Rory's Gold (IRE)
Amie Waugh·Simon Waugh·beaten .75 lengths
7/2·4.50
SP
3rd
Flying Moonlight (IRE)
Jamie Gormley·Sandy Thomson·beaten .5 lengths
12/1·13.00
SP

Race time

1m 43.81s+6.71s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

AI top-rated Mayor Of Maghera (score 44.5) finished 4th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Mayor Of Maghera

David Nolan · R Mike Smith · 4yo

Top-rated of 9

score 44.5 · +0.6 clear of next best (43.8)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
14d since last run (race-fit window)
Ratings50% weight
41below average
OR 61
Form20% weight
41below average
Last 6: 5-6-6-4-3
Trainer20% weight
30weak
R Mike Smith: 2/17 winners last 14d (12%)

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ayr 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)

IV 1.06

Mid (4–6)

IV 0.92

High (7–9)

IV 1.01

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 140 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	5	Hunterian J: Andrew Mullen · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 4 3yo · C · br	23632	9-05	60	—	—	43.8	3/1F·4.00 SP
2	2	Rory's Gold J: Amie Waugh(3) · T: Simon Waugh · draw 3 4yo · G · gr	79468	10-01	60	—	—	30.9	7/2·4.50 SP
3	9	Flying Moonlight J: Jamie Gormley · T: Sandy Thomson · draw 1 3yo · G · b	777	8-07	48	—	—	23.5	12/1·13.00 SP
4	1	Mayor Of Maghera J: David Nolan · T: R Mike Smith · draw 2 4yo · G · b	56643	10-02	61	—	—	44.5	11/2·6.50 SP
5	8	Walk On Walk On J: Ryan Sexton · T: Noel Wilson · draw 7 3yo · G · bp	90640	8-11	52	—	—	30.6	40/1·41.00 SP
6	3	Braes Of Doune J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 6 8yo · G · bp	2425	9-13	58	—	—	40.8	14/1·15.00 SP
7	4	Carmel Valley J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Katie Scott · draw 8 3yo · F · br	776	9-08	63	—	—	36.5	17/2·9.50 SP
8	6	Golden Valour J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: R Mike Smith · draw 5 10yo · G · bp	00657	9-04	49	—	—	35.7	14/1·15.00 SP
9	7	Approaching Dawn J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 9 6yo · G · ch	68751	9-01	46	—	—	40.2	4/1·5.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:52 Ayr on 19 June 2026?

Hunterian (IRE) won the 19:52 Ayr at SP 4.00. Ridden by Andrew Mullen. Trained by Charlie Johnston.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:52 Ayr?

No — the AI top pick (Mayor Of Maghera) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 19:52 Ayr?

Top finishers: 1. Hunterian (IRE) (4.00), 2. Rory's Gold (IRE) (4.50), 3. Flying Moonlight (IRE) (13.00).

What was the winning time for the 19:52 Ayr?

The winning time was 1m 43.81s, 6.71s slower than standard.

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