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Next · 8h 22m19:08Worcester

17:30 Ayr

Magners Original Cider Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

6f · Flat · Class 5 · Soft · 8 runners · £4,320 · Friday, 19 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 5th
  1. 1st
    Thistle Nil (IRE)
    Rhys Elliott·Jim Goldie
    200/1·201.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Star With Purpose (GB)
    Oisin McSweeney·John & Sean Quinn·beaten 0.2 lengths
    7/2·4.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Brash (IRE)
    David Nolan·David & Nicola Barron·beaten 1.25 lengths
    7/2·4.50
    SP
Race time
1m 14.84s+5.84s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

AI top-rated Stoneacre Joe (score 46.5) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Stoneacre Joe

Sean Kirrane · Tim Easterby · 3yo

Top-rated of 8
score 46.5 · +5.0 clear of next best (41.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    20d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    47below average
    OR 71 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    44below average
    Last 6: 9-2-2-8-4
  • Trainer20% weight
    20weak
    Tim Easterby: 8/106 winners last 14d (8%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ayr 6f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.24
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.98
High (7–9)
IV 0.75

Today: Sand Sea (draw 2) and Brash (draw 1) get the bias; Stoneacre Joe (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 122 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 7
4yo · G · b
79
17.3
200/1·201.00
SP
26
3yo · G · bb
473
6941.5
7/2·4.50
SP
35
3yo · G · ch
77
22.0
7/2·4.50
SP
43
J: Ryan Sexton · T: Noel Wilson · draw 3
3yo · G · b
7
10.0
50/1·51.00
SP
57
J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 8
3yo · G · b
92284
7146.5
9/4·3.25
SP
69
J: Aiden Brookes · T: Linda Perratt · draw 4
3yo · F · b
15.0
40/1·41.00
SP
74
3yo · G · ch
3
20.5
85/40F·3.12
SP
88
3yo · F · b
74
18.5
28/1·29.00
SP
4yo · G · ch
67
22.3

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:30 Ayr on 19 June 2026?

Thistle Nil (IRE) won the 17:30 Ayr at SP 201.00. Ridden by Rhys Elliott. Trained by Jim Goldie.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:30 Ayr?

No — the AI top pick (Stoneacre Joe) finished 5.

What were the placings in the 17:30 Ayr?

Top finishers: 1. Thistle Nil (IRE) (201.00), 2. Star With Purpose (GB) (4.50), 3. Brash (IRE) (4.50).

What was the winning time for the 17:30 Ayr?

The winning time was 1m 14.84s, 5.84s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org