Who won the 14:53 Ayr on 20 June 2026?
Square Necker (FR) won the 14:53 Ayr at SP 5.00. Ridden by Sam James. Trained by Kevin Philippart De Foy.
14:53 Ayr
Unite Natalie Egan Celebration Handicap (For The Johnstone Rose Bowl) (GBBPlus Race)
1m5f · Flat · Class 2 · Soft · 12 runners · £21,600 · Saturday, 20 June 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 4/1·5.00Race report
- 1stSquare Necker (FR)AI top pick · 59.2Sam James·Kevin Philippart De Foy4/1·5.00SP
- 2ndAshnak (FR)Mark Winn·David O'Meara·beaten 1.75 lengths16/1·17.00SP
- 3rdDivine Knight (IRE)Harry Davies·William Haggas·beaten 0.2 lengths9/4F·3.25SP
Race time
2m 59.64s+13.64s vs std
Markedly slow — strong soft ground or a deeply tactical race.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Why the model rates this top
Square Necker
Sam James · Kevin Philippart De Foy · 4yo
Top-rated of 12
score 59.2 · +0.8 clear of next best (58.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight89very strongLast 6: 3-1-2-1
- Freshness10% weight85very strong48d since last run (fresh)
- Ratings50% weight61averageOR 91
- Trainer20% weight13weakKevin Philippart De Foy: 1/19 winners last 14d (5%)
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ayr 1m5f
full course data →Sample too small to call at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 0.86
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.14
High (9–12)
IV 1.03
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 29 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Sam James · T: Kevin Philippart De Foy · draw 4 4yo · G · gr | 3121 | 91 | 59.2 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 2 | 6 | J: Mark Winn · T: David O'Meara · draw 10 4yo · G · b | 23834 | 88 | 53.6 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 3 | 9 | J: Harry Davies · T: William Haggas · draw 6 5yo · G · b | 72406 | 84 | 55.4 | 9/4F·3.25 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Jason Hart · T: Andrew Balding · draw 9 4yo · G · bp | 39110 | 89 | 57.5 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 5 | 1 | J: Hector Crouch · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 7 6yo · M · ch | 6026 | 93 | 49.2 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 6 | 10 | J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 12 6yo · G · b | 75113 | 78 | 58.3 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 7 | 7 | J: Jack Mitchell · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 1 4yo · G · chp | 48803 | 88 | 44.6 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 8 | 4 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Ian Williams · draw 2 7yo · G · b | 00087 | 90 | 43.5 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 9 | 11 | J: Amie Waugh(3) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 11 6yo · G · bp | 442262 | 78 | 52.9 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 10 | 12 | J: Warren Fentiman(3) · T: Miss Natalia Lupini · draw 5 4yo · F · b | 01200 | 77 | 45.0 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 11 | 8 | J: Mikey Sheehy · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 8 4yo · G · bv | 50435 | 88 | 52.7 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 12 | 3 | J: Oisin Orr · T: Michael Bell · draw 3 5yo · M · gr | 13243 | 90 | 58.5 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:53 Ayr?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Square Necker, won the race (AI score 59.2).
What were the placings in the 14:53 Ayr?
Top finishers: 1. Square Necker (FR) (5.00), 2. Ashnak (FR) (17.00), 3. Divine Knight (IRE) (3.25).
What was the winning time for the 14:53 Ayr?
The winning time was 2m 59.64s, 13.64s slower than standard.
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