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RacingAlpha

17:23 Ayr

Sally St Vincent's Handicap

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Soft · 14 runners · £5,234 · Saturday, 20 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Novamay (GB)
    Rhys Elliott·Michael Dods
    13/2·7.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Parisiac (IRE)AI top pick · 51.5
    Cara Tuke·Iain Jardine·beaten 1.25 lengths
    6/1·7.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Abduction (FR)
    Harry Davies·Jim Goldie·beaten 0.3 lengths
    9/1·10.00
    SP
Race time
1m 12.37s+3.37s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Parisiac

Cara Tuke(7) · Iain Jardine · 7yo

Top-rated of 14
score 51.5 · +0.8 clear of next best (50.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    11d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Form20% weight
    68strong
    Last 6: 4-2-8-1-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    53average
    OR 79
  • Trainer20% weight
    23weak
    Iain Jardine: 3/34 winners last 14d (9%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ayr 6f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–5)
IV 1.24
Mid (6–10)
IV 0.98
High (11–14)
IV 0.75

Today: Parisiac (draw 1) and Abduction (draw 3) get the bias; Dandy Magic (draw 12) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 122 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Michael Dods · draw 4
4yo · F · b
10495
8046.6
13/2·7.50
SP
25
J: Cara Tuke(7) · T: Iain Jardine · draw 1
7yo · G · bp
42812
7951.5
6/1·7.00
SP
38
J: Harry Davies · T: Jim Goldie · draw 3
8yo · G · b
041877
7448.3
9/1·10.00
SP
41
J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 2
6yo · M · bh
00009
8242.7
100/30F·4.33
SP
57
J: Mark Winn · T: David O'Meara · draw 10
9yo · G · bv
541603
7850.7
9/2·5.50
SP
612
J: Amie Waugh(3) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 11
6yo · G · gr
05658
6643.9
9/1·10.00
SP
79
J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 13
5yo · G · bh
23050
7443.9
28/1·29.00
SP
82
6yo · G · ch
20296
8043.5
9/1·10.00
SP
914
J: Barry McHugh · T: R Mike Smith · draw 5
3yo · F · chh
4448
6442.5
66/1·67.00
SP
1010
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Jim Goldie · draw 12
4yo · F · ch
85230
7346.1
20/1·21.00
SP
114
5yo · G · bt
53430
8050.2
6/1·7.00
SP
1211
J: David Allan · T: Linda Perratt · draw 8
5yo · G · b
350204
6939.7
22/1·23.00
SP
136
J: Tom Eaves · T: Michael Dods · draw 6
10yo · G · b
00000
7840.5
50/1·51.00
SP
1413
J: Sam James · T: R Mike Smith · draw 14
3yo · F · b
42346
6943.3
50/1·51.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:23 Ayr on 20 June 2026?

Novamay (GB) won the 17:23 Ayr at SP 7.50. Ridden by Rhys Elliott. Trained by Michael Dods.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:23 Ayr?

No — the AI top pick (Parisiac) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 17:23 Ayr?

Top finishers: 1. Novamay (GB) (7.50), 2. Parisiac (IRE) (7.00), 3. Abduction (FR) (10.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:23 Ayr?

The winning time was 1m 12.37s, 3.37s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org