16:48 Ayr

Talk To Thompsons Handicap

7f · Flat · Class 5 · Soft · 8 runners · £4,187 · Saturday, 20 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd

1st
Circle Of Trust (IRE)
Tom Eaves·Kevin Ryan
6/1·7.00
SP
2nd
Milford Grange (GB)AI top pick · 52.2
Billy Garritty·Michael & David Easterby·beaten .75 lengths
7/4F·2.75
SP
3rd
Ellie's de Vega (GB)
Barry McHugh·Noel Wilson·beaten 4 lengths
100/30·4.33
SP

Race time

1m 31.41s+4.81s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Milford Grange

Billy Garritty · Michael & David Easterby · 3yo

Top-rated of 8

score 52.2 · +4.6 clear of next best (47.6)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
85very strong
35d since last run (fresh)
Form20% weight
64average
Last 6: 3-7-2-2
Ratings50% weight
46below average
OR 69
Trainer20% weight
40below average
Michael & David Easterby: 5/31 winners last 14d (16%)

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ayr 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)

IV 1.06

Mid (5–7)

IV 0.92

High (8–10)

IV 1.01

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 140 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	7	Circle Of Trust J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 4 3yo · G · bb	52092	9-05	66	—	—	40.0	6/1·7.00 SP
2	3	Milford Grange J: Billy Garritty · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 6 3yo · G · b	3722	9-08	69	—	—	52.2	7/4F·2.75 SP
3	9	Ellie's de Vega J: Barry McHugh · T: Noel Wilson · draw 10 3yo · G · chp	53343	8-07	54	—	—	38.8	100/30·4.33 SP
4	5	Horace Wallace J: Oisin Orr · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 9 3yo · G · br	31870	9-07	68	—	—	40.3	11/2·6.50 SP
5	1	Storm Esme J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 3 3yo · F · br	01708	9-09	70	—	—	41.3	17/2·9.50 SP
6	6	Blue Mantle J: Andrew Mullen · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 7 3yo · C · b	3250	9-07	68	—	—	43.3	28/1·29.00 SP
7	8	Real Jack J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Michael Dods · draw 1 3yo · G · bpFT P	72656	9-04	65	—	—	42.2	9/1·10.00 SP
8	10	Sanny Doo J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 8 3yo · G · b	4848	8-04	51	—	—	36.8	20/1·21.00 SP
—	—	Magistery J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Michael Dods · draw 2 3yo · F · b	61500	9-08	69	—	—	40.1	—
—	—	Napolian J: Mark Winn · T: David O'Meara · draw 5 3yo · G · b	23348	9-08	69	—	—	47.6	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:48 Ayr on 20 June 2026?

Circle Of Trust (IRE) won the 16:48 Ayr at SP 7.00. Ridden by Tom Eaves. Trained by Kevin Ryan.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:48 Ayr?

No — the AI top pick (Milford Grange) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 16:48 Ayr?

Top finishers: 1. Circle Of Trust (IRE) (7.00), 2. Milford Grange (GB) (2.75), 3. Ellie's de Vega (GB) (4.33).

What was the winning time for the 16:48 Ayr?

The winning time was 1m 31.41s, 4.81s slower than standard.

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