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RacingAlpha

19:10 Newmarket (July)

Zyn Frontrunner Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m4f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 6 runners · £7,731 · Friday, 19 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 9/4F·3.25
  1. 1st
    Hard To Believe (IRE)AI top pick · 55.8
    Rob Hornby·Andrew Balding
    9/4F·3.25
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Brave Hunter (GB)
    Benoit De La Sayette·Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos·beaten 0.3 lengths
    9/2·5.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Temple (GB)
    Sorin Moldoveanu·Jane Chapple-Hyam·beaten 1.25 lengths
    11/1·12.00
    SP
Race time
2m 32.95s+3.05s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Hard To Believe

Rob Hornby · Andrew Balding · 3yo

Top-rated of 6
score 55.8 · +1.9 clear of next best (53.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    36d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    58average
    Last 6: 6-1-1-7
  • Ratings50% weight
    53average
    OR 80 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    45below average
    Andrew Balding: 12/65 winners last 14d (18%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newmarket (July) 1m4f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.30).

Low (1–2)
IV 0.91
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.30
High (5–6)
IV 0.82

Today: Outback Legend (draw 4) and Brave Hunter (draw 3) get the bias; Temple (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 59 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
Hard To Believe
J: Rob Hornby · T: Andrew Balding · draw 2
3yo · G · b
6117
8055.8
9/4F·3.25
SP
23
Brave Hunter
J: Benoit De La Sayette · T: Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos · draw 3
3yo · C · ch
38627
7943.4
9/2·5.50
SP
34
Temple
J: Sorin Moldoveanu(7) · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 6
3yo · C · b
636
7744.8
11/1·12.00
SP
42
Outback Legend
J: Zac Lloyd · T: Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole · draw 4
3yo · C · ch
631
8053.8
4/1·5.00
SP
56
Battosai
J: Callum Hutchinson · T: Brian Meehan · draw 5
3yo · C · bb
50524
7242.8
16/1·17.00
SP
65
Outflank
J: Luke Catton(3) · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 1
3yo · G · bbFT B
333
7753.7
5/2·3.50
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:10 Newmarket (July) on 19 June 2026?

Hard To Believe (IRE) won the 19:10 Newmarket (July) at SP 3.25. Ridden by Rob Hornby. Trained by Andrew Balding.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:10 Newmarket (July)?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Hard To Believe, won the race (AI score 55.8).

What were the placings in the 19:10 Newmarket (July)?

Top finishers: 1. Hard To Believe (IRE) (3.25), 2. Brave Hunter (GB) (5.50), 3. Temple (GB) (12.00).

What was the winning time for the 19:10 Newmarket (July)?

The winning time was 2m 32.95s, 3.05s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org