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RacingAlpha

Zyn In-The-Moment Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

7f · Flat · Class 3 · Good · 9 runners · £6,185 · Friday, 19 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Musical Times (IRE)
    Zac Lloyd·Charlie Appleby
    EvensF·2.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Scommessa Sicura (IRE)AI top pick · 34.6
    Rob Hornby·Andrew Balding·beaten 0.3 lengths
    6/4·2.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Celestia (GB)
    George Wood·Harry Charlton·beaten 8.5 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
Race time
1m 25.60s+2.30s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Scommessa Sicura

Rob Hornby · Andrew Balding · 2yo

Top-rated of 9
score 34.6 · +11.1 clear of next best (23.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    18d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    78strong
    Last 6: 2-2
  • Trainer20% weight
    45below average
    Andrew Balding: 12/65 winners last 14d (18%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newmarket (July) 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 0.91
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.06
High (7–9)
IV 1.05

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 167 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
17
J: Zac Lloyd · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 9
2yo · F · ch
23.5
EvensF·2.00
SP
29
J: Rob Hornby · T: Andrew Balding · draw 3
2yo · F · b
22
34.6
6/4·2.50
SP
33
J: George Wood · T: Harry Charlton · draw 2
2yo · F · ch
21.5
12/1·13.00
SP
42
J: Jack Callan(3) · T: George Boughey · draw 4
2yo · F · b
20.0
20/1·21.00
SP
58
J: Jack Gilligan · T: Philip McBride · draw 1
2yo · F · br
15.0
100/1·101.00
SP
61
2yo · F · ch
9
11.2
80/1·81.00
SP
75
J: Alec Voikhansky · T: Richard Hannon · draw 8
2yo · F · b
20.5
25/1·26.00
SP
86
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 6
2yo · F · b
20.0
12/1·13.00
SP
94
J: Jonny Peate · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 7
2yo · F · ch
18.5
66/1·67.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:51 Newmarket (July) on 19 June 2026?

Musical Times (IRE) won the 16:51 Newmarket (July) at SP 2.00. Ridden by Zac Lloyd. Trained by Charlie Appleby.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:51 Newmarket (July)?

No — the AI top pick (Scommessa Sicura) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 16:51 Newmarket (July)?

Top finishers: 1. Musical Times (IRE) (2.00), 2. Scommessa Sicura (IRE) (2.50), 3. Celestia (GB) (13.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:51 Newmarket (July)?

The winning time was 1m 25.60s, 2.30s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org