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RacingAlpha

14:36 Newmarket (July)

JCB Fastrac EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

1m · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £5,154 · Saturday, 20 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 15/8·2.88
  1. 1st
    Alfaraz (GB)AI top pick · 56.6
    Rob Hornby·Andrew Balding
    15/8·2.88
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Moreedd (GB)
    Robbie Downey·Roger Varian·beaten .5 lengths
    6/1·7.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Cockade (GB)
    Robert Havlin·John & Thady Gosden·beaten 3 lengths
    8/13F·1.62
    SP
Race time
1m 37.49s+0.09s vs std

On standard — typical pace for the course/distance.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.88 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Alfaraz

Rob Hornby · Andrew Balding · 3yo

Top-rated of 5
score 56.6 · +20.8 clear of next best (35.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    22d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    59average
    OR 88 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    45below average
    Andrew Balding: 13/73 winners last 14d (18%)
  • Form20% weight
    41below average
    Last 6: 2-2-6-5
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newmarket (July) 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 0.91
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.06
High (5–6)
IV 1.05

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 167 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
Alfaraz
J: Rob Hornby · T: Andrew Balding · draw 1
3yo · C · b
2265
8856.6
15/8·2.88
SP
22
Moreedd
J: Robbie Downey · T: Roger Varian · draw 2
3yo · C · ch
41
—35.8
6/1·7.00
SP
31
Cockade
J: Robert Havlin · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 4
3yo · C · b
41
—29.3
8/13F·1.62
SP
45
Zynak
J: Laura Pearson · T: Kevin Philippart De Foy · draw 3
3yo · G · b
99
—10.7
125/1·126.00
SP
56
Littleferry
J: Nicola Currie · T: John Berry · draw 6
3yo · F · b
——15.0
100/1·101.00
SP
——
Wintercast
J: NON-RUNNER · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 5
3yo · G · b
85
—17.7—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:36 Newmarket (July) on 20 June 2026?

Alfaraz (GB) won the 14:36 Newmarket (July) at SP 2.88. Ridden by Rob Hornby. Trained by Andrew Balding.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:36 Newmarket (July)?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Alfaraz, won the race (AI score 56.6).

What were the placings in the 14:36 Newmarket (July)?

Top finishers: 1. Alfaraz (GB) (2.88), 2. Moreedd (GB) (7.00), 3. Cockade (GB) (1.62).

What was the winning time for the 14:36 Newmarket (July)?

The winning time was 1m 37.49s, on standard time.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org