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RacingAlpha

14:12 Redcar

racingtv.com/freetrial EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

5f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 6 runners · £5,400 · Saturday, 20 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Quillan (IRE)
    Kaiya Fraser·David & Nicola Barron
    28/1·29.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Undercover Affair (IRE)AI top pick · 31.3
    J F Egan·David Evans·beaten 0.3 lengths
    6/4F·2.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Rock Steady Beat (IRE)
    Pierre-Louis Jamin·K R Burke·beaten 6.5 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
Race time
57.84s+1.84s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Undercover Affair

J F Egan · David Evans · 2yo

Top-rated of 6
score 31.3 · +0.3 clear of next best (31.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    8d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Form20% weight
    69strong
    Last 6: 4-4-2-2-1-4
  • Trainer20% weight
    53average
    David Evans: 4/19 winners last 14d (21%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Redcar 5f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 1.02
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.98
High (5–6)
IV 0.99

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 125 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
2yo · C · gr
15.0
28/1·29.00
SP
24
J: J F Egan · T: David Evans · draw 2
2yo · G · gr
442214
31.3
6/4F·2.50
SP
33
J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: K R Burke · draw 1
2yo · C · b
52
27.9
4/1·5.00
SP
46
J: Ben Robinson · T: Craig Lidster · draw 6
2yo · F · bh
02
17.4
40/1·41.00
SP
51
J: Connor Beasley · T: James Tate · draw 4
2yo · C · b
31.0
12/1·13.00
SP
UR5
J: Shane Gray · T: Archie Watson · draw 5
2yo · F · gr
4
19.0
13/8·2.62
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:12 Redcar on 20 June 2026?

Quillan (IRE) won the 14:12 Redcar at SP 29.00. Ridden by Kaiya Fraser. Trained by David & Nicola Barron.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:12 Redcar?

No — the AI top pick (Undercover Affair) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 14:12 Redcar?

Top finishers: 1. Quillan (IRE) (29.00), 2. Undercover Affair (IRE) (2.50), 3. Rock Steady Beat (IRE) (5.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:12 Redcar?

The winning time was 57.84s, 1.84s slower than standard.

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