Who won the 16:56 Brighton on 21 June 2026?
Rogue Bullet (IRE) won the 16:56 Brighton at SP 3.50. Ridden by Billy Loughnane. Trained by James Owen.
16:56 Brighton
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5½f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 6 runners · £5,653 · Sunday, 21 June 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 6thRace report
- 1stRogue Bullet (IRE)Billy Loughnane·James Owen5/2F·3.50SP
- 2ndMoulin Booj (IRE)Liam Wright·George Scott·beaten 2 lengths4/1·5.00SP
- 3rdThe Flying Seagull (IRE)Mason Paetel·H Palmer·beaten 1.25 lengths10/1·11.00SP
Race time
1m 0.95s+1.55s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
AI top-rated Correspondence (score 57.3) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: The Thames Boatman
The Thames Boatman heads the field on the figures after landing a race two starts back and running creditably in stronger company since; acts on any going over today's trip, first-time cheekpieces applied, and a 1lb lower mark than last time reads favourably. Moulin Booj drops in grade and ran close to form last time, sitting just a pound above the last winning mark; Hoodie Hoo and Correspondence also have solid claims. The Thames Boatman is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Correspondence
Myla Coppins(7) · Tony Carroll · 4yo
Top-rated of 6
score 57.3 · +7.3 clear of next best (50.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong26d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight68strongLast 6: 8-2-6-3-1-2
- Trainer20% weight55averageTony Carroll: 10/45 winners last 14d (22%)
- Ratings50% weight45below averageOR 68
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Brighton 5½f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–2)
IV 1.06
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.94
High (5–6)
IV 0.99
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 114 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: James Owen · draw 3 4yo · G · bp | 31065 | 73 | 48.4 | 5/2F·3.50 SP |
| 2 | 1 | J: Liam Wright(5) · T: George Scott · draw 4 6yo · G · b | 410663 | 82 | 49.3 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Mason Paetel(5) · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 1 4yo · G · bbFT B | 54640 | 72 | 42.8 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: Jason Watson · T: Charles Hills · draw 6 4yo · G · bt | 24624 | 77 | 47.9 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Finley Marsh · T: Richard Hughes · draw 2 6yo · G · bp | 629214 | 76 | 50.0 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: Myla Coppins(7) · T: Tony Carroll · draw 5 4yo · G · bp | 826312 | 68 | 57.3 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:56 Brighton?
No — the AI top pick (Correspondence) finished 6.
What were the placings in the 16:56 Brighton?
Top finishers: 1. Rogue Bullet (IRE) (3.50), 2. Moulin Booj (IRE) (5.00), 3. The Flying Seagull (IRE) (11.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:56 Brighton?
The winning time was 1m 0.95s, 1.55s slower than standard.
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