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20:40 Brighton

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7f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners · £3,978 · Monday, 22 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 9/4F·3.25
  1. 1st
    Dion Baker (IRE)AI top pick · 52.4
    Darragh Keenan·M Wigham
    9/4F·3.25
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Havana Mojito (GB)
    L Morris·J Gallagher·beaten .5 lengths
    100/30·4.33
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Prefer The Sister (IRE)
    Christian Howarth·James Owen·beaten .75 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
Race time
1m 20.89s+2.19s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Dion Baker (IRE))

Went straight to the front - pressed entering final furlong - responded when challenged inside final 110yds - held on comfortably

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Dion Baker

Dion Baker has landed back-to-back wins, most recently taking a classified event at Bath in dominant style with cheekpieces that have clearly reinvigorated the form; course-and-distance experience is in place and the mark remains competitive. Havana Mojito went close here last time in blinkers and is the biggest threat, while Prefer The Sister produced a solid second at Yarmouth and has more to offer. Dion Baker is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Dion Baker

Darragh Keenan · M Wigham · 7yo

Top-rated of 9
score 52.4 · +1.4 clear of next best (51.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    17d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    70strong
    Last 6: 5-7-4-4-1-1
  • Trainer20% weight
    50small sample (n=5)
    M Wigham: 1/5 winners last 14d (20%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Ratings50% weight
    37below average
    OR 55 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Brighton 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 0.97
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.93
High (9–12)
IV 1.09

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 152 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
J: Darragh Keenan · T: M Wigham · draw 6
7yo · G · bp
574411
5552.4
9/4F·3.25
SP
22
J: L Morris · T: J Gallagher · draw 1
5yo · G · grb
60452
5545.7
100/30·4.33
SP
36
J: Christian Howarth · T: James Owen · draw 5
6yo · M · bt
70742
5343.1
4/1·5.00
SP
48
J: D Egan · T: Jack Jones · draw 8
7yo · M · b
31408
5132.9
16/1·17.00
SP
55
J: Paddy Bradley · T: D M Loughnane · draw 12
6yo · G · bp
085692
5334.2
16/1·17.00
SP
612
J: Finley Marsh · T: G & J Moore · draw 11
5yo · G · b
59330
4738.3
10/1·11.00
SP
74
J: Mason Paetel · T: M J Attwater · draw 9
7yo · M · b
78426
5434.3
11/1·12.00
SP
87
J: N Callan · T: P R Chamings · draw 7
9yo · G · bv
60929
5337.7
8/1·9.00
SP
911
J: Kieren Fox · T: Craig Benton · draw 2
4yo · G · bh
59148
4832.1
25/1·26.00
SP
J: Ashley Lewis · T: M R Hoad · draw 10
4yo · G · gr
49199
5142.5
J: William Carson · T: A W Carroll · draw 4
6yo · G · chp
536583
4940.9
J: Jack Callan · T: M Murphy · draw 3
4yo · G · chp
171441
5551.0

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 20:40 Brighton on 22 June 2026?

Dion Baker (IRE) won the 20:40 Brighton at SP 3.25. Ridden by Darragh Keenan. Trained by M Wigham.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:40 Brighton?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Dion Baker, won the race (AI score 52.4).

What were the placings in the 20:40 Brighton?

Top finishers: 1. Dion Baker (IRE) (3.25), 2. Havana Mojito (GB) (4.33), 3. Prefer The Sister (IRE) (5.00).

What was the winning time for the 20:40 Brighton?

The winning time was 1m 20.89s, 2.19s slower than standard.

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