Who won the 16:45 Musselburgh on 22 June 2026?
Krissy (IRE) won the 16:45 Musselburgh at SP 4.50. Ridden by Rhys Elliott. Trained by J S Goldie.
16:45 Musselburgh
Stand In What You Stand For Handicap
1m1f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 6 runners · £5,234 · Monday, 22 June 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stKrissy (IRE)Rhys Elliott·J S Goldie7/2·4.50SP
- 2ndHighland Olly (GB)Alistair Rawlinson·Grant Tuer·beaten .5 lengths4/1·5.00SP
- 3rdBlakefell (IRE)Jason Hart·I Furtado·beaten .5 lengths11/4F·3.75SP
Race time
1m 51.17s+1.27s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
In-running (Krissy (IRE))
“Set the pace throughout - came under pressure 2f out and forged clear - met a challenge over 1f out and answered - in control throughout”
AI top-rated Welbury (score 57.0) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Welbury
Welbury has finished runner-up in both handicap starts, including beaten two lengths off a mark just 1lb lower than today, and acts well at 6-8f on good and good to firm; the slightly longer nine-furlong trip looks a plus, and while the trainer's recent figures are modest and first-time cheekpieces are applied, the form is strong enough to mark this out as the one to beat; Highland Olly and Blakefell are the main dangers — Welbury is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Welbury
Connor Beasley · E Bethell · 3yo
Top-rated of 6
score 57.0 · +8.4 clear of next best (48.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong38d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight75strongLast 6: 3-5-1-2-2
- Ratings50% weight50averageOR 75 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight43below averageE Bethell: 5/30 winners last 14d (17%)
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Musselburgh 1m1f
full course data →Sample too small to call at this course and trip.
Low (1–2)
IV 0.98
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.19
High (5–6)
IV 0.85
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 28 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Rhys Elliott · T: J S Goldie · draw 4 5yo · M · b | 121106 | 70 | 45.6 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 2 | 1 | J: Alistair Rawlinson · T: Grant Tuer · draw 5 5yo · G · b | 51104 | 75 | 48.6 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Jason Hart · T: I Furtado · draw 6 3yo · G · b | 09216 | 75 | 46.5 | 11/4F·3.75 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: Connor Beasley · T: E Bethell · draw 1 3yo · G · grp | 35122 | 75 | 57.0 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 5 | 6 | J: Connor Planas · T: C Johnston · draw 3 3yo · G · ch | 672761 | 58 | 41.3 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 6 | 5 | J: Ryan Sexton · T: Miss J A Camacho · draw 2 3yo · G · b | 556 | 70 | 43.3 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:45 Musselburgh?
No — the AI top pick (Welbury) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 16:45 Musselburgh?
Top finishers: 1. Krissy (IRE) (4.50), 2. Highland Olly (GB) (5.00), 3. Blakefell (IRE) (3.75).
What was the winning time for the 16:45 Musselburgh?
The winning time was 1m 51.17s, 1.27s slower than standard.
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