Who won the 15:30 Carlisle on 24 June 2026?
Runswick (IRE) won the 15:30 Carlisle at SP 5.00. Ridden by Daniel Tudhope. Trained by Ed Dunlop.
15:30 Carlisle
Lady Dacre Bell Handicap
1m · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 10 runners · £10,468 · Wednesday, 24 June 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 6thRace report
- 1stRunswick (IRE)Daniel Tudhope·Ed Dunlop4/1·5.00SP
- 2ndBarley (IRE)David Allan·Tim Easterby·beaten 2.25 lengths15/2·8.50SP
- 3rdAqua Bear (IRE)Clifford Lee·Ian Williams·beaten 0.3 lengths7/1·8.00SP
Race time
1m 38.07s+1.27s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
In-running (Runswick (IRE))
“Made all the running - harried along the way - extended the advantage over 1f out - driven out and held on comfortably”
AI top-rated Marry The Night (score 52.2) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 66.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Runswick
Runswick has produced two solid placed runs since returning and was denied by a short head at Chester last time off a 2lb lower mark — a rise that looks very manageable. Proven over a mile on soft and good ground, he tops our figures by a clear margin. I Can Dance is the main unknown — well-bred and capable of better than debut level, but 273 days off is a real concern first time back. Pepsea and Barley complete the list of dangers. Runswick is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Marry The Night
Sean Kirrane · T D Easterby · 4yo
Top-rated of 10
score 52.2 · +0.0 clear of next best (52.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong25d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight59averageLast 6: 1-1-3-2-2-8
- Ratings50% weight47below averageOR 70
- Trainer20% weight35below averageT D Easterby: 14/100 winners last 14d (14%)
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Carlisle 1m
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).
Low (1–4)
IV 1.00
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.83
High (9–11)
IV 1.16
Today: I Can Dance (draw 11) and Aqua Bear (draw 10) get the bias; Barley (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 96 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: D Tudhope · T: E A L Dunlop · draw 9 3yo · C · b | 61032 | 81 | 45.3 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 2 | 7 | J: D Allan · T: T D Easterby · draw 6 7yo · G · bp | 80623 | 68 | 48.8 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: C Lee · T: Ian Williams · draw 10 3yo · G · b | 92140 | 80 | 47.7 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 4 | 10 | J: Tom Marquand · T: J S Goldie · draw 8 4yo · F · b | 869162 | 67 | 44.7 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 5 | 1 | J: Joanna Mason · T: Roger Fell · draw 3 4yo · F · b | 715464 | 71 | 50.8 | 7/2F·4.50 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: Sean Kirrane · T: T D Easterby · draw 4 4yo · G · bp | 113228 | 70 | 52.2 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 7 | 8 | J: S H James · T: James Owen · draw 2 3yo · F · b | 07758 | 77 | 47.9 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 8 | 6 | J: William Pyle · T: T D Barron · draw 1 4yo · G · b | 24573 | 69 | 42.2 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 9 | 9 | J: Shay Farmer · T: J Bedi · draw 7 4yo · G · btb | 33602 | 67 | 47.7 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 10 | 5 | J: Connor Beasley · T: C Johnston · draw 11 3yo · G · b | 223 | 79 | 52.1 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Oliver Stammers · T: Grant Tuer · draw 5 3yo · G · b | 2444 | 75 | 45.2 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:30 Carlisle?
No — the AI top pick (Marry The Night) finished 6.
What were the placings in the 15:30 Carlisle?
Top finishers: 1. Runswick (IRE) (5.00), 2. Barley (IRE) (8.50), 3. Aqua Bear (IRE) (8.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:30 Carlisle?
The winning time was 1m 38.07s, 1.27s slower than standard.
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