Who won the 14:30 Carlisle on 24 June 2026?
Ruby Moon (IRE) won the 14:30 Carlisle at SP 5.00. Ridden by Oisin Orr. Trained by Richard & Peter Fahey.
14:30 Carlisle
Bet Smarter With Oddschecker+ EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
6f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £5,940 · Wednesday, 24 June 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stRuby Moon (IRE)Oisin Orr·Richard & Peter Fahey4/1·5.00SP
- 2ndSilesia (GB)AI top pick · 24.7Kevin Stott·Kevin Ryan·beaten 1.25 lengths8/11F·1.73SP
- 3rdLove Tanya (IRE)Connor Beasley·Edward Bethell·beaten 11 lengths15/2·8.50SP
Race time
1m 12.84s+2.94s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
In-running (Ruby Moon (IRE))
“Sat in second on the outside - urged along over 1f out - challenged entering the final furlong and struck the front - kept on to score”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.73 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Silesia
Silesia sets a clear standard in this fillies' novice, placed in all three outings and appearing to need the step to 6f to show her best — she found the pace of the front pair too hot at Beverley last time, and a performance close to that level should suffice. Enhancing, fitted with a tongue-tie, showed more potential than her debut suggested and is likely to be the main threat. Ruby Moon and Love Tanya stand out among the first-time starters with attractive pedigree profiles. Silesia is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Silesia
K Stott · K A Ryan · 2yo
Top-rated of 5
score 24.7 · +2.7 clear of next best (22.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong25d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight66strongLast 6: 3-2-3
- Trainer20% weight8weakK A Ryan: 1/35 winners last 14d (3%)
- Ratings50% weight0weakno Racing Post ratings on file
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Carlisle 6f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–2)
IV 0.99
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.10
High (5–6)
IV 0.91
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 99 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 2yo · F · b | — | — | 20.0 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 2 | 6 | 2yo · F · ch | 323 | — | 24.7 | 8/11F·1.73 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Connor Beasley · T: E Bethell · draw 4 2yo · F · b | — | — | 22.0 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Rowan Scott · T: H Palmer · draw 1 2yo · F · btFT T | 8 | — | 15.0 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 5 | 2 | J: Faye McManoman · T: L Williamson · draw 2 2yo · F · b | — | — | 15.0 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| — | — | 2yo · F · gr | 8 | — | 12.0 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:30 Carlisle?
No — the AI top pick (Silesia) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 14:30 Carlisle?
Top finishers: 1. Ruby Moon (IRE) (5.00), 2. Silesia (GB) (1.73), 3. Love Tanya (IRE) (8.50).
What was the winning time for the 14:30 Carlisle?
The winning time was 1m 12.84s, 2.94s slower than standard.
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