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RacingAlpha

laywheeler.com Handicap

7f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 9 runners · £10,308 · Thursday, 25 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Dark Tornado (IRE)
    J F Egan·Michael Wigham
    11/1·12.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Aalto (FR)
    Ryan Moore·Ian Williams·beaten 1.25 lengths
    2/1F·3.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Superposition (GB)
    Jack Callan·Ed Dunlop·beaten 1.25 lengths
    10/1·11.00
    SP
Race time
1m 24.60s+1.80s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

AI top-rated Philanthropist (score 60.9) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 10.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Aalto

Aalto comes in as the top-rated runner and brings winning course-and-distance form alongside a creditable run behind good horses here last season — an accommodating mark and the booking of Ryan Moore suggest connections are hopeful of a bounce-back after excuses last time. Mudbir is the most dangerous rival, a progressive type last year and now gelded with William Buick aboard for a confident trainer; Philanthropist adds consistent placed form at the right level. Aalto is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Philanthropist

Rossa Ryan · James Fanshawe · 4yo

Top-rated of 9
score 60.9 · +1.4 clear of next best (59.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    34d since last run (fresh)
  • Trainer20% weight
    65strong
    James Fanshawe: 6/23 winners last 14d (26%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    57average
    OR 85
  • Form20% weight
    55average
    Last 6: 4-6-7-1-3
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newmarket (July) 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 0.91
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.06
High (9–11)
IV 1.05

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 167 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
16
J: J F Egan · T: Michael Wigham · draw 9
5yo · G · grv
58878
9059.5
11/1·12.00
SP
210
J: Ryan Moore · T: Ian Williams · draw 1
6yo · G · b
07890
8540.5
2/1F·3.00
SP
34
J: Jack Callan(3) · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 6
5yo · G · ch
84091
9350.8
10/1·11.00
SP
49
J: Rossa Ryan · T: James Fanshawe · draw 3
4yo · G · bp
46713
8560.9
10/1·11.00
SP
51
J: Sean Kirrane · T: Michael Dods · draw 10
8yo · G · chp
43635
9650.2
25/1·26.00
SP
611
6yo · G · bt
262540
8344.3
12/1·13.00
SP
73
J: Saffie Osborne · T: Richard Spencer · draw 8
4yo · G · ch
05060
9456.2
9/1·10.00
SP
88
6yo · G · bpFT P
00025
8950.3
11/2·6.50
SP
92
4yo · G · bp
51170
9454.2
7/2·4.50
SP
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 5
8yo · G · bv
07600
9043.7
J: NON-RUNNER · T: Emma Lavelle · draw 4
4yo · F · gr
06632
9354.7

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 12:45 Newmarket (July) on 25 June 2026?

Dark Tornado (IRE) won the 12:45 Newmarket (July) at SP 12.00. Ridden by J F Egan. Trained by Michael Wigham.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 12:45 Newmarket (July)?

No — the AI top pick (Philanthropist) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 12:45 Newmarket (July)?

Top finishers: 1. Dark Tornado (IRE) (12.00), 2. Aalto (FR) (3.00), 3. Superposition (GB) (11.00).

What was the winning time for the 12:45 Newmarket (July)?

The winning time was 1m 24.60s, 1.80s slower than standard.

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