Who won the 11:15 Newmarket (July) on 25 June 2026?
Vanilla Skies (GB) won the 11:15 Newmarket (July) at SP 8.00. Ridden by Cieren Fallon. Trained by William Haggas.
11:15 Newmarket (July)
Lay & Wheeler Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
7f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £5,154 · Thursday, 25 June 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stVanilla Skies (GB)Cieren Fallon·William Haggas7/1·8.00SP
- 2ndAreti (GB)Rossa Ryan·Oliver Cole·beaten .5 lengths9/4·3.25SP
- 3rdAfraj (IRE)AI top pick · 55.8William Buick·John & Thady Gosden·beaten 1.25 lengths11/2·6.50SP
Race time
1m 27.35s+4.55s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Afraj
Afraj made a winning debut before shaping with distinct promise at Goodwood despite being a touch keen over a mile — back in trip here with that experience behind her and a leading jockey aboard, the John and Thady Gosden filly is taken to get back to winning ways. Siddal ran a remarkable race at Salisbury but the firmer ground today is a meaningful concern, and Vanilla Skies is a debut runner by Pinatubo from the William Haggas yard who warrants market respect. Afraj is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Afraj
William Buick · John & Thady Gosden · 3yo
Top-rated of 5
score 55.8 · +2.4 clear of next best (53.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong20d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight73strongLast 6: 1-3
- Ratings50% weight49below averageOR 74
- Trainer20% weight33weakJohn & Thady Gosden: 6/47 winners last 14d (13%)
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newmarket (July) 7f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 0.91
Mid (4–5)
IV 1.06
High (6–7)
IV 1.05
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 167 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 7 3yo · F · bbFT B | — | — | 24.0 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Oliver Cole · draw 6 3yo · F · bt | 36225 | 76 | 53.5 | 9/4·3.25 SP |
| 3 | 2 | J: William Buick · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 4 3yo · F · b | 13 | 74 | 55.8 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Hector Crouch · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 3 4yo · F · b | 16 | 85 | 48.7 | EvensF·2.00 SP |
| 5 | 4 | J: Clifford Lee · T: James Tate · draw 2 3yo · F · b | 06 | — | 24.2 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Ryan Moore · T: Gary & Josh Moore · draw 5 3yo · F · b | 502 | 73 | 51.1 | — |
| — | — | J: NON-RUNNER · T: Ed Walker · draw 1 3yo · F · btFT T | — | — | 20.0 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 11:15 Newmarket (July)?
No — the AI top pick (Afraj) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 11:15 Newmarket (July)?
Top finishers: 1. Vanilla Skies (GB) (8.00), 2. Areti (GB) (3.25), 3. Afraj (IRE) (6.50).
What was the winning time for the 11:15 Newmarket (July)?
The winning time was 1m 27.35s, 4.55s slower than standard.
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