Who won the 20:45 Newmarket (July) on 26 June 2026?
Nuptown Girl (GB) won the 20:45 Newmarket (July) at SP 3.75. Ridden by Ryan Kavanagh. Trained by Ian Williams.
20:45 Newmarket (July)
Turners Apprentice Handicap
1m4f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 4 runners · £5,154 · Friday, 26 June 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stNuptown Girl (GB)Ryan Kavanagh·Ian Williams11/4·3.75SP
- 2ndSeventy (GB)AI top pick · 57.4Seamus Cronin·Ross Burdon·beaten 0.05 lengths9/4·3.25SP
- 3rdMarket House (IRE)Mason Paetel·James Owen·beaten 2.5 lengths5/1·6.00SP
Race time
2m 42.37s+12.47s vs std
Markedly slow — strong soft ground or a deeply tactical race.
In-running (Nuptown Girl (GB))
“Dwelt at the start - raced keenly chasing the pace - responded to pressure over 2f out - moved to the front in the final 110yds - clung on near the line”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Belle Amie
Belle Amie has taken two of her last five starts and is building nicely, most recently landing a handicap at Bath with something to spare — she is effective over today's distance and is respected off her new mark. Green Team took a Wolverhampton handicap last time and is respected back on turf with a visor; Seventy is in excellent form under a penalty and the conditions suit. Belle Amie is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Seventy
Seamus Cronin · Ross Burdon · 4yo
Top-rated of 4
score 57.4 · +7.5 clear of next best (49.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight85very strongLast 6: 1-3-3-1-2-1
- Freshness10% weight70strong11d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Trainer20% weight50small sample (n=5)Ross Burdon: 1/5 winners last 14d (20%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Ratings50% weight47below averageOR 70 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newmarket (July) 1m4f
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.30).
Low (1–2)
IV 0.91
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.30
High (5–5)
IV 0.82
Today: Belle Amie (draw 4) and Nuptown Girl (draw 3) get the bias; Market House (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 59 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | J: Ryan Kavanagh · T: Ian Williams · draw 3 4yo · F · b | 625354 | 58 | 42.2 | 11/4·3.75 SP |
| 2 | 1 | J: Seamus Cronin · T: Ross Burdon · draw 2 4yo · C · b | 133121 | 70 | 57.4 | 9/4·3.25 SP |
| 3 | 2 | J: Mason Paetel(3) · T: James Owen · draw 5 6yo · G · btp | 532364 | 67 | 48.8 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Alexandra Egan(5) · T: David Simcock · draw 4 4yo · F · b | 23141 | 56 | 49.9 | 7/4F·2.75 SP |
| — | — | J: Kyle McHugh(7) · T: Nick Littmoden · draw 1 7yo · G · bv | 462441 | 65 | 44.3 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:45 Newmarket (July)?
No — the AI top pick (Seventy) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 20:45 Newmarket (July)?
Top finishers: 1. Nuptown Girl (GB) (3.75), 2. Seventy (GB) (3.25), 3. Market House (IRE) (6.00).
What was the winning time for the 20:45 Newmarket (July)?
The winning time was 2m 42.37s, 12.47s slower than standard.
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