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RacingAlpha

12:15 Doncaster

Story Cup Handicap

1m2f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £4,397 · Friday, 26 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Rizal (FR)
    Darragh Keenan·George Scott
    7/5F·2.40
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Phaedra (GB)
    Tom Kiely-Marshall·Joey Ramsden·beaten 3 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Dingwall (GB)AI top pick · 49.5
    Jason Watson·Iain Jardine·beaten .75 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
Race time
2m 9.75s+3.25s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Rizal (FR))

“Tracked the leaders - took a firm hold after 4f - moved up travelling well from 2f out - hit the front over 1f out - ridden clear final 110yds - stayed on”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 12.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Rizal

Rizal heads the market on our ratings, having run to his mark on his stable debut and joining a trainer who is in form. The return to a longer straight after a break should suit, and his record over a range of trips and ground conditions makes him versatile. Stipulation is the main threat, with a run last time that may have been better than the result suggests, and Finlaggan — unexposed in British handicaps — cannot be dismissed. Rizal is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Dingwall

Jason Watson · Iain Jardine · 5yo

Top-rated of 7
score 49.5 · +2.7 clear of next best (46.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    21d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    58average
    Iain Jardine: 8/35 winners last 14d (23%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    41below average
    OR 61
  • Form20% weight
    38below average
    Last 6: 2-2-2-7-6-5
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Doncaster 1m2f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.20).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.20
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.05
High (7–8)
IV 0.73

Today: Dingwall (draw 2) and Phaedra (draw 3) get the bias; Rizal (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 100 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
Rizal
J: Darragh Keenan · T: George Scott · draw 8
4yo · G · b
34263
7043.0
7/5F·2.40
SP
25
Phaedra
J: Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) · T: Joey Ramsden · draw 3
4yo · F · btFT T
027240
6744.4
12/1·13.00
SP
38
Dingwall
J: Jason Watson · T: Iain Jardine · draw 2
5yo · G · bh
222765
6149.5
12/1·13.00
SP
43
Finlaggan
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 6
4yo · G · chtpFT TP
88274
6946.8
9/4·3.25
SP
54
Lordsbridge Grey
J: Dylan Hogan · T: S Woods · draw 4
4yo · G · gr
46377
6838.0
8/1·9.00
SP
61
Superfortress
J: James Sullivan · T: Ruth Carr · draw 1
5yo · G · b
42720
7040.8
11/2·6.50
SP
PU6
Thequietman
J: Alistair Rawlinson · T: David O'Meara · draw 5
5yo · G · brh
35998
6641.3
50/1·51.00
SP
——
Stipulation
J: · T: Mark Loughnane · draw 7
5yo · G · bp
33386
6535.3—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 12:15 Doncaster on 26 June 2026?

Rizal (FR) won the 12:15 Doncaster at SP 2.40. Ridden by Darragh Keenan. Trained by George Scott.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 12:15 Doncaster?

No — the AI top pick (Dingwall) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 12:15 Doncaster?

Top finishers: 1. Rizal (FR) (2.40), 2. Phaedra (GB) (13.00), 3. Dingwall (GB) (13.00).

What was the winning time for the 12:15 Doncaster?

The winning time was 2m 9.75s, 3.25s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org