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18:00 Chepstow

Hayleys Race To Happily Ever After Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

6f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 8 runners · £4,320 · Saturday, 27 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 7th
  1. 1st
    Super Tuscan (IRE)
    Callum Hutchinson·Eve Johnson Houghton
    9/2·5.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Dream On Kent (GB)
    Ryan Kavanagh·David Evans·beaten 3.75 lengths
    11/4·3.75
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Lushill (IRE)
    William Cox·J S Moore·beaten 0.3 lengths
    15/2·8.50
    SP
Race time
1m 11.33s+3.33s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Super Tuscan (IRE))

Held up towards rear - angled left with effort from 2f out - hit the front over 1f out - went clear - gently handled to the line

AI top-rated Pageant Girl (score 50.7) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 8.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Super Tuscan

Dream On Kent arrives as the form reference after a narrow second in a seller at Chester over 7f and tackles a visor for the first time today, but Super Tuscan, who has since been gelded and represents a yard with a strong record with its younger horses, holds strong appeal at this trip. Miss Moneypit, who showed up well here last time, also warrants respect. Super Tuscan is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Pageant Girl

Ashley Lewis(5) · James Owen · 2yo

Top-rated of 8
score 50.7 · +13.0 clear of next best (37.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    55d since last run (fresh)
  • Trainer20% weight
    50average
    James Owen: 10/51 winners last 14d (20%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    48below average
    OR 72 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    41below average
    Last 6: 7-1-8
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Chepstow 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 1.00
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.90
High (7–8)
IV 1.08

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 106 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
2yo · G · gr
54
21.5
9/2·5.50
SP
23
J: Ryan Kavanagh(5) · T: David Evans · draw 5
2yo · G · bvFT V
82
27.6
11/4·3.75
SP
38
J: William Cox · T: J S Moore · draw 8
2yo · F · b
5
13.0
15/2·8.50
SP
46
J: Joe Leavy · T: Richard Hannon · draw 6
2yo · F · b
7
13.0
7/1·8.00
SP
55
J: Rowan Scott · T: Rod Millman · draw 1
2yo · F · ch
845
6437.7
9/4F·3.25
SP
64
J: Nicola Currie · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 2
2yo · F · ch
47
20.5
18/1·19.00
SP
71
J: Ashley Lewis(5) · T: James Owen · draw 7
2yo · F · bpFT P
718
7250.7
17/2·9.50
SP
87
J: Tyler Heard · T: David Evans · draw 4
2yo · F · b
0
16.5
66/1·67.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:00 Chepstow on 27 June 2026?

Super Tuscan (IRE) won the 18:00 Chepstow at SP 5.50. Ridden by Callum Hutchinson. Trained by Eve Johnson Houghton.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:00 Chepstow?

No — the AI top pick (Pageant Girl) finished 7.

What were the placings in the 18:00 Chepstow?

Top finishers: 1. Super Tuscan (IRE) (5.50), 2. Dream On Kent (GB) (3.75), 3. Lushill (IRE) (8.50).

What was the winning time for the 18:00 Chepstow?

The winning time was 1m 11.33s, 3.33s slower than standard.

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