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RacingAlpha

16:45 Chester

Castillo De Ibiza EBF Fillies' Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m2½f · Flat · Class 3 · Good · 8 runners · £12,885 · Saturday, 27 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Hoseki (IRE)
    Harry Davies·William Haggas
    5/2F·3.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Bearin Up (IRE)
    Duran Fentiman·Tim Easterby·beaten 1.5 lengths
    17/2·9.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    City Queen (IRE)AI top pick · 66.0
    Toby Moore·Charlie Appleby·beaten 1.25 lengths
    3/1·4.00
    SP
Race time
2m 8.69s+0.99s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Hoseki (IRE))

Prominent, settled in third after 3f - tracked leader from 2f out - switched right and took up lead inside final furlong - finished strongly - won comfortably

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Winged One

Winged One ran here last time when stepping up in form, handled by a trainer with a strong course record, and our figures place her well clear of the field; first-time cheekpieces add another angle. City Queen arrives off a recent win and is progressing, while Ciara Pearl returns from a long absence with solid prior form and Hoseki is lightly raced and open to improvement. Winged One is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

City Queen

Toby Moore(7) · Charlie Appleby · 3yo

Top-rated of 8
score 66.0 · +6.0 clear of next best (60.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    14d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    85very strong
    Last 6: 2-2-1-3-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    58average
    OR 87
  • Trainer20% weight
    50average
    Charlie Appleby: 5/25 winners last 14d (20%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Chester 1m2½f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.23).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.23
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.97
High (7–8)
IV 0.76

Today: Winged One (draw 3) and Bearin Up (draw 1) get the bias; City Queen (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 48 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
17
J: Harry Davies · T: William Haggas · draw 4
3yo · F · b
341
7860.0
5/2F·3.50
SP
28
J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 1
3yo · F · b
73151
7653.4
17/2·9.50
SP
35
J: Toby Moore(7) · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 8
3yo · F · b
22131
8766.0
3/1·4.00
SP
41
J: Edward Greatrex · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 5
4yo · F · grp
26221
9259.2
9/1·10.00
SP
54
J: David Probert · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 6
4yo · F · b
30217
8454.8
4/1·5.00
SP
66
J: Jason Watson · T: Andrew Balding · draw 3
3yo · F · chpFT P
91582
8458.2
8/1·9.00
SP
73
J: Sean D Bowen · T: Roger Varian · draw 2
4yo · F · b
43138
8750.6
11/1·12.00
SP
82
6yo · M · bp
60520
9240.8
40/1·41.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:45 Chester on 27 June 2026?

Hoseki (IRE) won the 16:45 Chester at SP 3.50. Ridden by Harry Davies. Trained by William Haggas.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:45 Chester?

No — the AI top pick (City Queen) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 16:45 Chester?

Top finishers: 1. Hoseki (IRE) (3.50), 2. Bearin Up (IRE) (9.50), 3. City Queen (IRE) (4.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:45 Chester?

The winning time was 2m 8.69s, 0.99s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org