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14:32 Chester

Absolut Tabasco Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

7½f · Flat · Class 3 · Good · 4 runners · £7,731 · Saturday, 27 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 5/4·2.25
  1. 1st
    Eagle Bay (GB)AI top pick · 64.0
    Sean D Bowen·Harriet Bethell
    5/4·2.25
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Albemagic (GB)
    David Egan·Steph Hollinshead·beaten 6 lengths
    33/1·34.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Remi Mae (GB)
    Jason Watson·Andrew Balding·beaten 0.2 lengths
    6/1·7.00
    SP
Race time
1m 33.40s+1.90s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Eagle Bay (GB))

Made all, moving well throughout - asserted 2f out - forged clear from 1f out - ridden out inside final furlong - won with ease

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Eagle Bay

Eagle Bay made a striking impression last time, landing a maiden by 5 lengths in form that has stood up well since, and trainer Harriet Bethell has a fine record at Chester; he handles 7f on good ground and looks capable of overcoming the penalty. El Nay has been consistent in the places in recent starts and is the main danger, but Eagle Bay is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Eagle Bay

Sean D Bowen · Harriet Bethell · 3yo

Top-rated of 4
score 64.0 · +8.5 clear of next best (55.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    22d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    87very strong
    Last 6: 3-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    53average
    OR 80
  • Trainer20% weight
    50small sample (n=5)
    Harriet Bethell: 1/5 winners last 14d (20%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Chester 7½f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.11).

Low (1–2)
IV 1.11
Mid (3–3)
IV 0.75
High (4–4)
IV 1.11

Today: El Nay (draw 1) and Albemagic (draw 2) get the bias; Eagle Bay (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 84 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
J: Sean D Bowen · T: Harriet Bethell · draw 3
3yo · G · b
31
8064.0
5/4·2.25
SP
22
J: David Egan · T: Steph Hollinshead · draw 2
3yo · G · b
7
15.0
33/1·34.00
SP
34
J: Jason Watson · T: Andrew Balding · draw 4
3yo · F · b
7230
7248.0
6/1·7.00
SP
43
J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 1
3yo · G · b
23232
8555.5
11/10F·2.10
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:32 Chester on 27 June 2026?

Eagle Bay (GB) won the 14:32 Chester at SP 2.25. Ridden by Sean D Bowen. Trained by Harriet Bethell.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:32 Chester?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Eagle Bay, won the race (AI score 64.0).

What were the placings in the 14:32 Chester?

Top finishers: 1. Eagle Bay (GB) (2.25), 2. Albemagic (GB) (34.00), 3. Remi Mae (GB) (7.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:32 Chester?

The winning time was 1m 33.40s, 1.90s slower than standard.

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