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RacingAlpha

JenningsBet In Allerdene Handicap

5f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard To Slow · 12 runners · £5,234 · Thursday, 25 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 10th
  1. 1st
    I'm Dan Dare (GB)
    Jack Garritty·Mark Walford
    7/2F·4.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Slot (GB)
    Cam Hardie·Antony Brittain·beaten 0.3 lengths
    10/1·11.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Brave Traveller (GB)
    Oisin McSweeney·Bryan Smart·beaten 1.5 lengths
    7/1·8.00
    SP
Race time
59.15s+1.45s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

AI top-rated Contorno (score 53.8) finished 10th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 12.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: The Tunguska Event

The Tunguska Event is well-rated and showed consistent form in recent starts, running to a good level last time off this same mark; the visor is added and the drop to a stiff 5f on the AW is a sound move. I'm Dan Dare and Yellow Diamonds must be considered after strong recent form, while Koffee And Kale, with a notable jockey booked and first-time visor, can improve dropping back in trip. The Tunguska Event is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Contorno

Joanna Mason · Tom Tate · 3yo

Top-rated of 12
score 53.8 · +8.1 clear of next best (45.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=2)
    Tom Tate: 1/2 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    47d since last run (fresh)
  • Ratings50% weight
    37below average
    OR 56
  • Form20% weight
    33weak
    Last 6: 1-4-1-5-9-8
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 5f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)
IV 1.02
Mid (6–9)
IV 0.88
High (10–13)
IV 1.09

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 571 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
J: Jack Garritty · T: Mark Walford · draw 2
3yo · G · chp
02512
6843.5
7/2F·4.50
SP
29
J: Cam Hardie · T: Antony Brittain · draw 13
3yo · F · b
23544
6540.9
10/1·11.00
SP
34
J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Bryan Smart · draw 3
3yo · G · b
15927
6844.7
7/1·8.00
SP
43
J: Ryan Sexton · T: Julie Camacho · draw 4
3yo · F · b
21044
6845.8
12/1·13.00
SP
52
J: Tom Marquand · T: Michael Bell · draw 9
3yo · G · bvFT V
31327
7045.4
15/2·8.50
SP
611
J: Jason Hart · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 1
3yo · G · bv
741213
6543.7
11/2·6.50
SP
76
J: Ben Robinson · T: Brian Ellison · draw 6
3yo · G · ch
84893
6838.2
9/2·5.50
SP
812
J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 7
3yo · F · b
64106
6336.8
66/1·67.00
SP
98
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 11
3yo · G · br
28566
6639.9
6/1·7.00
SP
1013
J: Joanna Mason · T: Tom Tate · draw 5
3yo · G · b
141598
5653.8
12/1·13.00
SP
1110
J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Jessica Macey · draw 12
3yo · F · b
715963
6539.2
40/1·41.00
SP
127
J: Harry Vigors(5) · T: Archie Watson · draw 8
3yo · F · bbFT B
24177
6738.9
28/1·29.00
SP
J: Harry Russell · T: Ollie Pears · draw 10
3yo · G · b
44646
7039.7

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:32 Newcastle (AW) on 25 June 2026?

I'm Dan Dare (GB) won the 17:32 Newcastle (AW) at SP 4.50. Ridden by Jack Garritty. Trained by Mark Walford.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:32 Newcastle (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Contorno) finished 10.

What were the placings in the 17:32 Newcastle (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. I'm Dan Dare (GB) (4.50), 2. Slot (GB) (11.00), 3. Brave Traveller (GB) (8.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:32 Newcastle (AW)?

The winning time was 59.15s, 1.45s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org