14:40

Newcastle (AW)

Great Britain

JenningsBet Festival Northumberland Vase Handicap (Consolation Race For Northumberland Plate) (GBBPlus Race)

Saturday, 27 June 2026

2m½f·Flat·Class 2·Standard To Slow·20 runners·£38,655

DrawNo meaningful draw bias· 150 races · full map →

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 100/30·4.33

1st
Believitanducan (IRE)AI top pick · 76.5
William Buick·Alan King
100/30·4.33
SP
2nd
Haveyoumissedme (GB)
Andrew Mullen·Iain Jardine·beaten 1 length
22/1·23.00
SP
3rd
Sax Appeal (GB)
Daniel Muscutt·Charlie Johnston·beaten 0.05 lengths
22/1·23.00
SP

Race time

3m 32.90s+2.50s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Believitanducan (IRE))

“On the wide outside in touch - driven along from 3f out - went to front over 2f out - edged left over 1f out - kept on strongly inside final furlong”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Selections by model

Head-to-head dashboard →

v1.076.5/100 rating

Believitanducan

4.20Betfair Exchange· informational only

Top-rated, but filter rejects this race

v1.1

No pick

Race outside the segment-edge filter

Each-way64.6/100 rating

Shrimp Shady

5.50Unibet

Place portion settles at 1.90 · 1/5 odds · 5 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Believitanducan

William Buick · Alan King · 5yo

76.5/100

+11.8 vs next best (64.6)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100very strong
Alan King: 3/7 winners last 14d (43%)
Freshness10% weight
100very strong
28d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
96very strong
Last 6: 1-2-1-1
Ratings50% weight
55average
OR 82

MarketBest price 4.20 (Betfair Exchange) — market favourite. AI agrees with the market.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners

Pos	#	Dr	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
11	1	12	Charging Thunder 8yo · G · bp	Mason Paetel(5) James Owen	75027	9-12	88	—	—	54.0	18/1·19.00 SP
19	2	16	Chemistry 5yo · G · gr	Lewis Edmunds Jennie Candlish	04849	9-12	88	—	—	54.2	25/1·26.00 SP
5	3	17	Alphonse Le Grande 7yo · G · bt	Sam Coen(5) A J Martin	58700	9-11	87	—	—	38.8	8/1·9.00 SP
6	4	11	Shrimp Shady 4yo · C · b	Rob Hornby Andrew Balding	44121	9-11	87	—	—	64.6	3/1F·4.00 SP
18	5	18	Artisan Dancer 6yo · G · b	Cieren Fallon Charlie Johnston	16040	9-10	86	—	—	49.4	20/1·21.00 SP
3	6	2	Sax Appeal 6yo · G · bb	Daniel Muscutt Charlie Johnston	383653	9-10	86	—	—	50.3	22/1·23.00 SP
10	7	13	Laafy 10yo · G · bv	Connor Beasley Brian Ellison	7080	9-10	86	—	—	43.1	66/1·67.00 SP
7	8	8	Premiere Ligne 7yo · G · bt	Jack Nicholls(5) Hughie Morrison	22096	9-06	82	—	—	62.1	80/1·81.00 SP
1	9	10	Believitanducan 5yo · G · b	William Buick Alan King	1211	9-06	82	—	—	76.5	100/30·4.33 SP
16	10	4	Brosna Town 5yo · G · bt	Ray Dawson Jessica Bedi	14036	9-05	81	—	—	38.6	100/1·101.00 SP
4	11	5	Hermetic 4yo · G · gr	Luke Morris Ian Williams	11446	9-05	81	—	—	52.0	18/1·19.00 SP
15	12	6	Savrola 7yo · G · b	Paul Mulrennan Dianne Sayer	21207	9-04	80	—	—	44.5	40/1·41.00 SP
20	13	20	Arc Zoosve 5yo · G · bp	Dougie Costello Neil King	251111	9-03	79	—	—	53.3	12/1·13.00 SP
9	14	9	St Faz 6yo · G · b	Mikey Sheehy Adrian Paul Keatley	117152	9-02	78	—	—	59.5	9/1·10.00 SP
13	15	15	Fast Fred 6yo · G · bp	Sam James Phillip Makin	21284	9-01	77	—	—	53.0	16/1·17.00 SP
8	16	1	Boxing Great 6yo · G · cht	Adam Caffrey Karl Thornton	55186	9-00	76	—	—	42.4	12/1·13.00 SP
12	17	7	Treasure Islands 4yo · G · b	David Allan Tim Easterby	481231	8-13	75	—	—	54.0	11/1·12.00 SP
2	18	3	Haveyoumissedme 8yo · G · b	Andrew Mullen Iain Jardine	35273	8-10	72	—	—	54.5	22/1·23.00 SP
17	19	14	Clansman 8yo · G · b	Rhys Elliott(5) Liam Bailey	321331	8-09	71	—	—	47.9	50/1·51.00 SP
14	20	19	Day Trader 5yo · G · b	N G McCullagh A J Martin	3060	8-08	70	—	—	32.2	22/1·23.00 SP

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:40 Newcastle (AW) on 27 June 2026?

Believitanducan (IRE) won the 14:40 Newcastle (AW) at SP 4.33. Ridden by William Buick. Trained by Alan King.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:40 Newcastle (AW)?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Believitanducan, won the race (AI score 76.5).

What were the placings in the 14:40 Newcastle (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Believitanducan (IRE) (4.33), 2. Haveyoumissedme (GB) (23.00), 3. Sax Appeal (GB) (23.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:40 Newcastle (AW)?

The winning time was 3m 32.90s, 2.50s slower than standard.

Racing Post verdict

Third-party

Sax Appeal tops our ratings in a wide-open staying handicap, returning to conditions that suit at 14-16f with first-time blinkers applied and back on his last winning mark, making him the most appealing option on figures despite being yet to win in recent starts. Alphonse Le Grande is a compelling threat as the course winner from 2024, returning from a break with tongue-tie on, while Haveyoumissedme knows this track well and steps back up to a trip that better suits after looking in need of a stiffer test last time. Believitanducan has been relentlessly progressive across both codes and takes another rise in the weights in stride. Sax Appeal is our selection.

Racing Post pick: Sax Appeal

Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.

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