Who won the 16:23 Newcastle (AW) on 27 June 2026?
Barnaby Rudge (IRE) won the 16:23 Newcastle (AW) at SP 2.88. Ridden by Daniel Muscutt. Trained by James Fanshawe.
16:23 Newcastle (AW)
Pertemps Network EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
5f · Flat · Class 2 · Standard To Slow · 7 runners · £17,550 · Saturday, 27 June 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stBarnaby Rudge (IRE)Daniel Muscutt·James Fanshawe15/8F·2.88SP
- 2ndHell Of A Spin (IRE)Mikey Sheehy·Adrian Paul Keatley·beaten .5 lengths9/1·10.00SP
- 3rdPapercut (IRE)P J McDonald·Andrew Balding·beaten 3.75 lengths5/2·3.50SP
Race time
1m 0.34s+2.64s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
In-running (Barnaby Rudge (IRE))
“Keen and prominent far side - bumped a rival early - ridden to lead over 1f out - hit the front final furlong - battled on well inside final 110yds”
AI top-rated Knock Three Times (score 48.4) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Knock Three Times
Knock Three Times has shown genuine ability on both starts despite signs of inexperience, and her latest effort has been well upheld at the highest level, suggesting she is ready to take a forward step here. Barnaby Rudge made a convincing debut and is expected to benefit from a stiffening test under a penalty, shaping as the main danger. Flashing Star holds residual claims if able to improve on his initial outing. Knock Three Times is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Knock Three Times
Saffie Osborne · Jamie Osborne · 2yo
Top-rated of 7
score 48.4 · +6.9 clear of next best (41.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong35d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight78strongLast 6: 2-2
- Ratings50% weight49below averageOR 73 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight0weakJamie Osborne: 0/13 winners last 14d (0%)
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 5f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 1.02
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.88
High (6–7)
IV 1.09
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 571 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Daniel Muscutt · T: James Fanshawe · draw 1 2yo · C · bh | 1 | — | 41.5 | 15/8F·2.88 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Mikey Sheehy · T: Adrian Paul Keatley · draw 7 2yo · C · b | — | — | 25.5 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: P J McDonald · T: Andrew Balding · draw 5 2yo · C · ch | — | — | 25.5 | 5/2·3.50 SP |
| 4 | 7 | J: Saffie Osborne · T: Jamie Osborne · draw 3 2yo · F · b | 22 | 73 | 48.4 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| 5 | 2 | J: Warren Fentiman · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 2 2yo · C · b | — | — | 19.5 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 6 | 3 | J: Dougie Costello · T: Mark Walford · draw 4 2yo · G · b | 6 | — | 18.0 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| — | 6 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Brian Ellison · draw 6 2yo · C · ch | — | — | 18.5 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:23 Newcastle (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Knock Three Times) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 16:23 Newcastle (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Barnaby Rudge (IRE) (2.88), 2. Hell Of A Spin (IRE) (10.00), 3. Papercut (IRE) (3.50).
What was the winning time for the 16:23 Newcastle (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 0.34s, 2.64s slower than standard.
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