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16:23

Newcastle (AW)

Great Britain

Pertemps Network EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Saturday, 27 June 2026

5f·Flat·Class 2·Standard To Slow·7 runners·£17,550
Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Barnaby Rudge (IRE)
    Daniel Muscutt·James Fanshawe
    15/8F·2.88
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Hell Of A Spin (IRE)
    Mikey Sheehy·Adrian Paul Keatley·beaten .5 lengths
    9/1·10.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Papercut (IRE)
    P J McDonald·Andrew Balding·beaten 3.75 lengths
    5/2·3.50
    SP
Race time
1m 0.34s+2.64s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Barnaby Rudge (IRE))

Keen and prominent far side - bumped a rival early - ridden to lead over 1f out - hit the front final furlong - battled on well inside final 110yds

AI top-rated Knock Three Times (score 48.4) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Selections by model

Head-to-head dashboard →
v1.048.4/100 rating
Knock Three Times
4.50Betfair Exchange· informational only

Top-rated, but filter rejects this race

v1.1
No pick

Race outside the segment-edge filter

Each-way48.4/100 rating
Knock Three Times
4.50Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Knock Three Times

Saffie Osborne · Jamie Osborne · 2yo

48.4/100
+6.9 vs next best (41.5)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    35d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    78strong
    Last 6: 2-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    49below average
    OR 73 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    0weak
    Jamie Osborne: 0/13 winners last 14d (0%)
MarketBest price 4.50 (Betfair Exchange) — 2nd favourite. AI sees slight value vs consensus.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners

Pos#DrHorseJockey / TrainerFormWtORRPRTSAISP
111
2yo · C · bh
1
9-1041.5
15/8F·2.88
SP
522
2yo · C · b
9-0419.5
18/1·19.00
SP
634
2yo · G · b
6
9-0418.0
16/1·17.00
SP
247
2yo · C · b
9-0425.5
9/1·10.00
SP
355
2yo · C · ch
9-0425.5
5/2·3.50
SP
66
2yo · C · ch
9-0418.5
473
2yo · F · b
22
8-137348.4
100/30·4.33
SP

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:23 Newcastle (AW) on 27 June 2026?

Barnaby Rudge (IRE) won the 16:23 Newcastle (AW) at SP 2.88. Ridden by Daniel Muscutt. Trained by James Fanshawe.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:23 Newcastle (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Knock Three Times) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 16:23 Newcastle (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Barnaby Rudge (IRE) (2.88), 2. Hell Of A Spin (IRE) (10.00), 3. Papercut (IRE) (3.50).

What was the winning time for the 16:23 Newcastle (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 0.34s, 2.64s slower than standard.

Racing Post verdict

Third-party

Knock Three Times has shown genuine ability on both starts despite signs of inexperience, and her latest effort has been well upheld at the highest level, suggesting she is ready to take a forward step here. Barnaby Rudge made a convincing debut and is expected to benefit from a stiffening test under a penalty, shaping as the main danger. Flashing Star holds residual claims if able to improve on his initial outing. Knock Three Times is our selection.

Racing Post pick: Knock Three Times

Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org