16:30 Down Royal

Ireland

BOYLE Sports Money Back If 2nd To SP Fav Handicap

5f · Flat · Good · 10 runners · €7,068 · Friday, 29 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 8th

1st
Cashel Blue (IRE)
W J Lee·K J Condon
9/1·10.00
SP
2nd
Spirit Above (IRE)
Julian Pietropaolo·Kevin Michael Smith·beaten 0.3 lengths
16/1·17.00
SP
3rd
Hooves Your Daddy (IRE)
Ronan Whelan·Jarlath P Fahey·beaten .5 lengths
11/2·6.50
SP

Race time

1m 1.30s+2.10s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Cashel Blue (IRE))

“In touch with leaders on inner - went second over 1f out - switched left 1f out - ridden and ran on well to lead towards finish”

AI top-rated Baggot Street (score 51.8) finished 8th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Hooves Your Daddy

HOOVES YOUR DADDY had three of today's rivals behind when runner-up on return at Dundalk and should improve again

Forecast 5/2 Hooves Your Daddy, 7/2 Baggot Street, 4/1 Lady Landhort, 7/1 Mini Cotai, 9/1 Plushy, 11/1 This Guy, 14/1 Love Bomb, Cashel Blue, 33/1 Spiced Gold, 66/1 Spirit Above

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Baggot Street

Rory Mulligan(5) · John S O'Donoghue · 3yo

Top-rated of 10

score 51.8 · +1.4 clear of next best (50.4)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
70strong
13d since last run (quick turnaround)
Trainer20% weight
63small sample (n=8)
John S O'Donoghue: 2/8 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Form20% weight
59average
Last 6: 5-4-5-4-1
Ratings50% weight
41below average
OR 65 · RPR 72 · TS 47

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Down Royal 5f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)

IV 0.58

Mid (5–7)

IV 1.33

High (8–10)

IV 1.13

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 30 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	5	Cashel Blue J: W J Lee · T: K J Condon · draw 4 3yo · F · b	705	9-05	58	65	46	29.3	9/1·10.00 SP
2	8	Spirit Above J: Julian Pietropaolo(7) · T: Kevin Michael Smith · draw 2 3yo · G · b	7770	8-13	52	66	—	30.0	16/1·17.00 SP
3	6	Hooves Your Daddy J: Ronan Whelan · T: Jarlath P Fahey · draw 3 3yo · F · b	57002	9-04	57	71	33	32.4	11/2·6.50 SP
4	2	This Guy J: Colin Keane · T: Daniel James Murphy · draw 9 3yo · G · b	235678	9-11	64	74	67	37.6	3/1F·4.00 SP
5	9	Lady Landhort J: Reese Holohan(7) · T: Mark Fahey · draw 5 3yo · F · b	00183	8-11	50	69	—	50.4	17/2·9.50 SP
6	7	Spiced Gold J: Sadhbh Tormey(7) · T: T G McCourt · draw 1 3yo · G · b	9000	9-02	55	65	19	22.6	50/1·51.00 SP
7	10	Mini Cotai J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: Michael Mulvany · draw 6 3yo · F · b	50304	8-07	46	71	51	36.5	7/1·8.00 SP
8	1	Baggot Street J: Rory Mulligan(5) · T: John S O'Donoghue · draw 8 3yo · F · bb	54541	9-12	65	72	47	51.8	5/1·6.00 SP
9	4	Plushy J: Gary Carroll · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 7 3yo · F · bh	02369	9-07	60	71	23	41.6	11/2·6.50 SP
10	3	Love Bomb J: Megan Telford-Kelly(7) · T: W McCreery · draw 10 3yo · F · bv	89047	9-09	62	72	46	37.2	12/1·13.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:30 Down Royal on 29 May 2026?

Cashel Blue (IRE) won the 16:30 Down Royal at SP 10.00. Ridden by W J Lee. Trained by K J Condon.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:30 Down Royal?

No — the AI top pick (Baggot Street) finished 8.

What were the placings in the 16:30 Down Royal?

Top finishers: 1. Cashel Blue (IRE) (10.00), 2. Spirit Above (IRE) (17.00), 3. Hooves Your Daddy (IRE) (6.50).

What was the winning time for the 16:30 Down Royal?

The winning time was 1m 1.30s, 2.10s slower than standard.

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