13:30 Carlisle

Betway Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m3f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 12 runners · £23,193 · Saturday, 30 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th

1st
Opportunity (GB)
James Doyle·William Haggas
11/10F·2.10
SP
2nd
Star Harbour (IRE)
Sean Levey·Adrian McGuinness·beaten 2.25 lengths
28/1·29.00
SP
3rd
Per Contra (IRE)
Sean Kirrane·Tim Easterby·beaten 2 lengths
20/1·21.00
SP

Race time

2m 24.17s+1.77s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Opportunity (GB))

“Prominent - ridden to lead 2f out - ran on well final furlong - comfortably”

AI top-rated Humble Spark (score 64.4) finished 6th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 8.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Opportunity

William Haggas' unexposed 4yo OPPORTUNITY is taken to build on the abundant promise of his reappearance at Ascot.

Forecast 6/4 Opportunity, 13/2 Topteam, 7/1 Ghaiyya, 9/1 Rogue Millions, 10/1 Castle Stuart, Humble Spark, 14/1 Dancing In Paris, 16/1 Star Harbour, 20/1 Claymore, 22/1 Per Contra, 25/1 Real Dream, Enemy, 28/1 Tiernan

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Humble Spark

Lauren Young(5) · Jim Goldie · 6yo

Top-rated of 12

score 64.4 · +1.5 clear of next best (62.9)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
15d since last run (race-fit window)
Ratings50% weight
63average
OR 78 · RPR 109 · TS 95
Form20% weight
60average
Last 6: 5-5-4-4-2-2
Trainer20% weight
55average
Jim Goldie: 9/41 winners last 14d (22%)

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Carlisle 1m3f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.31).

Low (1–5)

IV 1.31

Mid (6–9)

IV 0.89

High (10–13)

IV 0.75

Today: Humble Spark (draw 5) and Opportunity (draw 3) get the bias; Topteam (draw 13) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 52 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	6	Opportunity J: James Doyle · T: William Haggas · draw 3 4yo · G · b	1493	9-03	92	113	100	62.9	11/10F·2.10 SP
2	11	Star Harbour J: Sean Levey · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 1 8yo · G · bv	76504	8-11	86	106	81	49.3	28/1·29.00 SP
3	12	Per Contra J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 9 5yo · G · bp	10970	8-10	85	107	83	47.9	20/1·21.00 SP
4	7	Ghaiyya J: Saffie Osborne · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 10 4yo · F · b/br	15712	9-03	92	105	85	57.1	15/2·8.50 SP
5	4	Claymore J: Sorin Moldoveanu(7) · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 2 7yo · G · b/br	42778	9-06	95	109	85	46.4	33/1·34.00 SP
6	13	Humble Spark J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 5 6yo · G · bp	554422	8-03	78	109	95	64.4	17/2·9.50 SP
7	1	Real Dream J: Tom Marquand · T: Ian Williams · draw 4 7yo · G · b	56407	9-12	101	106	53	45.6	25/1·26.00 SP
8	3	Rogue Millions J: Rossa Ryan · T: Edward Bethell · draw 6 4yo · G · b	31176	9-07	96	108	88	53.5	5/1·6.00 SP
9	2	Enemy J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ian Williams · draw 12 9yo · G · bt	51310	9-11	100	109	74	53.8	50/1·51.00 SP
10	10	Castle Stuart J: Cam Hardie · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 11 4yo · C · b	74766	9-01	90	108	85	52.4	9/1·10.00 SP
11	9	Tiernan J: Tom Eaves · T: Iain Jardine · draw 8 4yo · G · b	43206	9-01	90	106	81	50.4	50/1·51.00 SP
12	8	Topteam J: William Buick · T: Andrew Balding · draw 13 4yo · G · b	47152	9-02	91	110	74	59.4	11/1·12.00 SP
—	—	Dancing In Paris J: NON-RUNNER · T: Ian Williams · draw 7 6yo · G · b	28240	9-04	93	109	103	48.2	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 13:30 Carlisle on 30 May 2026?

Opportunity (GB) won the 13:30 Carlisle at SP 2.10. Ridden by James Doyle. Trained by William Haggas.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 13:30 Carlisle?

No — the AI top pick (Humble Spark) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 13:30 Carlisle?

Top finishers: 1. Opportunity (GB) (2.10), 2. Star Harbour (IRE) (29.00), 3. Per Contra (IRE) (21.00).

What was the winning time for the 13:30 Carlisle?

The winning time was 2m 24.17s, 1.77s slower than standard.

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