14:00 Carlisle

Betway Reverence Handicap

6f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 14 runners · £16,200 · Saturday, 30 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd

1st
Realign (FR)
James Doyle·William Haggas
100/30F·4.33
SP
2nd
Recency Bias (IRE)AI top pick · 67.9
Jack Nicholls·K R Burke·beaten 1.25 lengths
7/1·8.00
SP
3rd
Wild Clary (IRE)
Sean Levey·Richard Hannon·beaten 0.3 lengths
13/2·7.50
SP

Race time

1m 11.38s+1.48s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Realign (FR))

“Taken down early - travelled strongly - prominent - led 2f out - kept on well final 110yds - ridden and wandered around inside final furlong - readily”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 7.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Native Honey

Realign is respected but the eye is drawn to NATIVE HONEY at the other end of the weights. Jim Goldie's 4yo can win again.

Forecast 5/1 Recency Bias, 11/2 Realign, Wild Clary, 7/1 Station X, 10/1 Jordan Electrics, 11/1 Rousing Encore, 12/1 Brosay, Native Honey, 14/1 Havana Rum, Grant Wood, 16/1 Fivethousandtoone, Mister Sox, 18/1 Marty Hopkirk, 25/1 Dark Cloud Rising, 40/1 Gressington

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Recency Bias

Jack Nicholls(5) · K R Burke · 4yo

Top-rated of 14

score 67.9 · +6.1 clear of next best (61.8)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
85very strong
29d since last run (fresh)
Form20% weight
71strong
Last 6: 4-2-1-4-2
Trainer20% weight
70strong
K R Burke: 13/46 winners last 14d (28%)
Ratings50% weight
62average
OR 84 · RPR 103 — above field median

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Carlisle 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)

IV 0.99

Mid (6–10)

IV 1.10

High (11–15)

IV 0.91

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 99 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	1	Realign J: James Doyle · T: William Haggas · draw 7 4yo · G · bpFT P	90179	9-11	92	100	93	55.5	100/30F·4.33 SP
2	7	Recency Bias J: Jack Nicholls(5) · T: K R Burke · draw 10 4yo · G · gr	42142	9-03	84	103	—	67.9	7/1·8.00 SP
3	10	Wild Clary J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 8 4yo · G · b	32242	9-01	82	103	96	61.8	13/2·7.50 SP
4	5	Rousing Encore J: James Sullivan · T: Ruth Carr · draw 15 6yo · G · b	32550	9-05	86	99	77	46.3	12/1·13.00 SP
5	3	Jordan Electrics J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Jim Goldie · draw 11 10yo · G · b	00269	9-07	88	102	92	53.9	6/1·7.00 SP
6	8	Fivethousandtoone J: David Probert · T: Tim Easterby · draw 14 8yo · G · bp	93220	9-03	84	101	60	49.7	14/1·15.00 SP
7	13	Mister Sox J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 6 6yo · G · chp	30028	8-11	78	102	96	48.3	9/1·10.00 SP
8	14	Gressington J: Saffie Osborne · T: Katie Scott · draw 13 5yo · G · grb	10060	8-07	74	99	67	39.1	50/1·51.00 SP
9	11	Havana Rum J: Ethan Tindall(5) · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 5 6yo · G · b	13626	9-01	82	100	77	54.5	18/1·19.00 SP
10	12	Grant Wood J: Tom Eaves · T: Paul Midgley · draw 4 7yo · G · gr	11483	9-01	82	102	95	55.8	22/1·23.00 SP
11	15	Native Honey J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 3 4yo · G · b	14071	8-04	71	100	77	55.6	14/1·15.00 SP
12	2	Brosay J: Tom Marquand · T: Charlie Pike · draw 1 4yo · G · bp	00056	9-10	91	99	89	43.9	12/1·13.00 SP
13	9	Marty Hopkirk J: Rossa Ryan · T: David Loughnane · draw 9 4yo · G · b	20054	9-02	83	100	71	47.4	22/1·23.00 SP
UR	4	Dark Cloud Rising J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 12 4yo · G · bvFT V	15090	9-07	88	99	64	42.3	12/1·13.00 SP
—	—	Station X J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Bryan Smart · draw 2 4yo · G · gr	22316	9-03	84	102	66	47.2	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:00 Carlisle on 30 May 2026?

Realign (FR) won the 14:00 Carlisle at SP 4.33. Ridden by James Doyle. Trained by William Haggas.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:00 Carlisle?

No — the AI top pick (Recency Bias) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 14:00 Carlisle?

Top finishers: 1. Realign (FR) (4.33), 2. Recency Bias (IRE) (8.00), 3. Wild Clary (IRE) (7.50).

What was the winning time for the 14:00 Carlisle?

The winning time was 1m 11.38s, 1.48s slower than standard.

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