Who won the 16:55 Carlisle on 30 May 2026?
St Anton (IRE) won the 16:55 Carlisle at SP 2.75. Ridden by Sean Levey. Trained by Richard Hannon.
16:55 Carlisle
Betway Bet £10 Get £60 Handicap
1m · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 8 runners · £6,281 · Saturday, 30 May 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 5thRace report
- 1stSt Anton (IRE)Sean Levey·Richard Hannon7/4F·2.75SP
- 2ndWild Thoughts (IRE)Saffie Osborne·Richard Spencer·beaten 0.2 lengths7/2·4.50SP
- 3rdKanishka (IRE)Tom Marquand·Brian Ellison·beaten 3.5 lengths28/1·29.00SP
Race time
1m 39.48s+2.68s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
In-running (St Anton (IRE))
“Towards rear - headway from over 2f out - hung right inside final furlong - ran on to lead towards finish”
AI top-rated Blue To Blue (score 71.5) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 14.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: St Anton
Preference for ST ANTON is marginal but he is consistent and progressive and his form looks solid. Wild Thoughts is second choice.
Forecast 7/2 Factual, St Anton, 100/30 Wild Thoughts, 9/2 Secret History, 6/1 Sovereign View, 9/1 Blue To Blue, 20/1 Horu Kanu, 25/1 Kanishka
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Blue To Blue
Jack Nicholls(5) · Ruth Jefferson · 3yo
Top-rated of 8
score 71.5 · +7.3 clear of next best (64.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=1)Ruth Jefferson: 1/1 winners last 14d (100%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight100very strong21d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight63averageLast 6: 1-1-2-9-2
- Ratings50% weight58averageOR 84 · RPR 93 · TS 83
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Carlisle 1m
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).
Low (1–3)
IV 1.00
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.83
High (7–8)
IV 1.16
Today: Wild Thoughts (draw 8) and Horu Kanu (draw 7) get the bias; Blue To Blue (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 96 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 5 3yo · C · b | 32231 | 85 | 62.8 | 7/4F·2.75 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Saffie Osborne · T: Richard Spencer · draw 8 3yo · G · b | 61111 | 84 | 57.9 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 3 | 7 | J: Tom Marquand · T: Brian Ellison · draw 6 3yo · G · bp | 07344 | 77 | 44.9 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 4 | 6 | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 1 3yo · F · bh | 2311 | 79 | 64.2 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Jack Nicholls(5) · T: Ruth Jefferson · draw 4 3yo · G · b | 11292 | 84 | 71.5 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 6 | 5 | J: Daniel Tudhope · T: James Tate · draw 3 3yo · G · b | 42312 | 84 | 56.8 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 7 | 8 | J: Cam Hardie · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 7 3yo · G · chpFT P | 45353 | 72 | 51.0 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 8 | 1 | J: James Doyle · T: Andrew Balding · draw 2 3yo · C · b | 1214 | 86 | 60.4 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:55 Carlisle?
No — the AI top pick (Blue To Blue) finished 5.
What were the placings in the 16:55 Carlisle?
Top finishers: 1. St Anton (IRE) (2.75), 2. Wild Thoughts (IRE) (4.50), 3. Kanishka (IRE) (29.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:55 Carlisle?
The winning time was 1m 39.48s, 2.68s slower than standard.
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