17:28 Carlisle

Betway Good Luck Arsenal Handicap

1m · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 10 runners · £5,234 · Saturday, 30 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th

1st
Priapos (IRE)
Rob Hornby·Phillip Makin
13/2·7.50
SP
2nd
Eupator (FR)
Sean Levey·Richard Hannon·beaten 1.5 lengths
8/1·9.00
SP
3rd
Count Palatine (IRE)
Rhys Elliott·Michael Dods·beaten .5 lengths
16/1·17.00
SP

Race time

1m 39.82s+3.02s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Priapos (IRE))

“Prominent - pushed along 3f out - ridden over 1f out - led inside final furlong - kept on”

AI top-rated Candonomore (score 56.0) finished 6th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Priapos

Several to consider in an open race but PRIAPOS may be able to show he is as effective on turf as on the AW.

Forecast 4/1 Candonomore, 9/2 Ayr Poet, 5/1 Marry The Night, 6/1 Priapos, 8/1 Eupator, Freddie Steady Go, 12/1 Jez Bomb, 14/1 Mr King, Moon Beginnings, 16/1 Count Palatine, 25/1 Elizabeth Bay

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Candonomore

Rossa Ryan · Jennie Candlish · 5yo

Top-rated of 10

score 56.0 · +0.0 clear of next best (56.0)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Form20% weight
71strong
Last 6: 7-5-2-2-1-3
Freshness10% weight
70strong
10d since last run (quick turnaround)
Ratings50% weight
55average
OR 82 · RPR 89 · TS 76
Trainer20% weight
38below average
Jennie Candlish: 5/33 winners last 14d (15%)

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Carlisle 1m

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–4)

IV 1.00

Mid (5–8)

IV 0.83

High (9–11)

IV 1.16

Today: Eupator (draw 11) and Mr King (draw 10) get the bias; Priapos (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 96 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	5	Priapos J: Rob Hornby · T: Phillip Makin · draw 8 4yo · G · b	11274	9-07	78	93	84	51.8	13/2·7.50 SP
2	2	Eupator J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 11 4yo · G · ch	113894	9-10	81	89	68	51.3	8/1·9.00 SP
3	4	Count Palatine J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Michael Dods · draw 5 5yo · G · b	61200	9-09	80	94	61	47.7	16/1·17.00 SP
4	8	Jez Bomb J: Cam Hardie · T: Sam England · draw 3 5yo · G · bp	36230	9-04	75	93	75	54.6	13/2·7.50 SP
5	7	Moon Beginnings J: Tom Marquand · T: David Loughnane · draw 7 4yo · G · chpFT P	28880	9-06	77	91	63	44.4	8/1·9.00 SP
6	1	Candonomore J: Rossa Ryan · T: Jennie Candlish · draw 4 5yo · G · brtp	752213	9-11	82	89	76	56.0	7/4F·2.75 SP
7	6	Mr King J: Robert Havlin · T: Geoffrey Harker · draw 10 6yo · G · grhpFT HP	38R06	9-07	78	94	77	40.1	13/2·7.50 SP
8	10	Marry The Night J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 1 4yo · G · bp	511322	9-01	72	90	—	56.0	25/1·26.00 SP
9	9	Ayr Poet J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 2 11yo · G · b	49102	9-03	74	92	77	55.0	17/2·9.50 SP
10	11	Elizabeth Bay J: Saffie Osborne · T: Katie Scott · draw 9 4yo · F · ch	24389	8-05	62	84	67	36.2	66/1·67.00 SP
—	—	Freddie Steady Go J: NON-RUNNER · T: Susan Corbett · draw 6 5yo · G · bt	771	9-10	81	91	65	50.3	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:28 Carlisle on 30 May 2026?

Priapos (IRE) won the 17:28 Carlisle at SP 7.50. Ridden by Rob Hornby. Trained by Phillip Makin.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:28 Carlisle?

No — the AI top pick (Candonomore) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 17:28 Carlisle?

Top finishers: 1. Priapos (IRE) (7.50), 2. Eupator (FR) (9.00), 3. Count Palatine (IRE) (17.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:28 Carlisle?

The winning time was 1m 39.82s, 3.02s slower than standard.

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