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RacingAlpha

15:15 Yarmouth

QuinnBet Free Bet For Second To The SP Favourite Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m2f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £6,281 · Thursday, 18 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th
  1. 1st
    Moonjid (GB)
    Silvestre De Sousa·Michael Appleby
    7/2·4.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Nicator (FR)
    Daniel Muscutt·Kevin Philippart De Foy·beaten 0.1 lengths
    7/2·4.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Sibling Rivelry (GB)
    Marco Ghiani·David Simcock·beaten 2.5 lengths
    9/4F·3.25
    SP
Race time
2m 8.24s+4.34s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

AI top-rated Penelope Valentine (score 55.2) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Penelope Valentine

Mason Paetel(5) · James Owen · 4yo

Top-rated of 7
score 55.2 · +1.4 clear of next best (53.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    18d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    60average
    Last 6: 4-1-9-3-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    49below average
    OR 73
  • Trainer20% weight
    45below average
    James Owen: 9/50 winners last 14d (18%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Yarmouth 1m2f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.18).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.18
Mid (4–5)
IV 1.09
High (6–7)
IV 0.72

Today: Nicator (draw 2) and Moonjid (draw 1) get the bias; Show Biz Kid (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 100 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
17
4yo · G · bp
58453
7147.7
7/2·4.50
SP
23
4yo · G · ch
6224
7548.3
7/2·4.50
SP
36
J: Marco Ghiani · T: David Simcock · draw 5
4yo · F · b
61317
7150.8
9/4F·3.25
SP
41
J: Taryn Langley(5) · T: David Simcock · draw 3
6yo · G · b
132704
7747.1
15/2·8.50
SP
55
5yo · G · bb
47641
7253.9
15/2·8.50
SP
64
J: Mason Paetel(5) · T: James Owen · draw 4
4yo · F · bp
41932
7355.2
6/1·7.00
SP
2
J: Jack Mitchell · T: Joseph Parr · draw 6
4yo · G · bh
312412
7550.6

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:15 Yarmouth on 18 June 2026?

Moonjid (GB) won the 15:15 Yarmouth at SP 4.50. Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa. Trained by Michael Appleby.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:15 Yarmouth?

No — the AI top pick (Penelope Valentine) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 15:15 Yarmouth?

Top finishers: 1. Moonjid (GB) (4.50), 2. Nicator (FR) (4.50), 3. Sibling Rivelry (GB) (3.25).

What was the winning time for the 15:15 Yarmouth?

The winning time was 2m 8.24s, 4.34s slower than standard.

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