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RacingAlpha

Darley EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

1m · Flat · Class 2 · Good · 5 runners · £20,616 · Monday, 29 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 30/100F·1.30
  1. 1st
    Capichera (IRE)AI top pick · 60.2
    Paul Mulrennan·Ed Walker
    30/100F·1.30
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Sedeirah (IRE)
    Daniel Tudhope·Edward Bethell·beaten 8.5 lengths
    17/2·9.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Take A View (GB)
    Lewis Edmunds·Harry Charlton·beaten 2.25 lengths
    9/2·5.50
    SP
Race time
1m 42.62s+1.12s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Capichera (IRE))

Chased the leader - drew clear with one rival over 2f out - asserted and driven over 1f out - edged left but pulled away - ran on comfortably

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.30 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Capichera

Capichera went close on her handicap debut at Nottingham, going down by only 3 lengths off a mark of 80, and that level of form makes her the standout back in novice company here. Take A View is the main danger — her debut effort has since been endorsed at a higher level and she drops to a mile in a first-time tongue-tie — while Carnival Of Light showed enough promise on her initial start to merit attention. Capichera is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Capichera

Paul Mulrennan · Ed Walker · 3yo

Top-rated of 5
score 60.2 · +36.2 clear of next best (24.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    41d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    69strong
    Last 6: 4-2-3-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    55average
    OR 82 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    53average
    Ed Walker: 6/28 winners last 14d (21%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Pontefract 1m

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.29).

Low (1–2)
IV 1.29
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.85
High (5–5)
IV 0.83

Today: Capichera (draw 2) and Stolen Kisses (draw 1) get the bias; Take A View (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 69 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Ed Walker · draw 2
3yo · F · b
4232
8260.2
30/100F·1.30
SP
24
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Edward Bethell · draw 3
3yo · F · ch
6
12.5
17/2·9.50
SP
35
J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Harry Charlton · draw 5
3yo · F · btFT T
34
24.0
9/2·5.50
SP
41
4yo · F · ch
4
22.0
20/1·21.00
SP
52
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 1
4yo · F · gr
55
16.5
150/1·151.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:30 Pontefract on 29 June 2026?

Capichera (IRE) won the 15:30 Pontefract at SP 1.30. Ridden by Paul Mulrennan. Trained by Ed Walker.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:30 Pontefract?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Capichera, won the race (AI score 60.2).

What were the placings in the 15:30 Pontefract?

Top finishers: 1. Capichera (IRE) (1.30), 2. Sedeirah (IRE) (9.50), 3. Take A View (GB) (5.50).

What was the winning time for the 15:30 Pontefract?

The winning time was 1m 42.62s, 1.12s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org