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18:00 Windsor

Ronald Fletcher Baker Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

1m3½f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 8 runners · £6,480 · Monday, 29 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 16/1·17.00
  1. 1st
    Frank Stamper (GB)AI top pick · 47.8
    Marco Ghiani·Tony Carroll
    16/1·17.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Tropbien (GB)
    Oisin Murphy·John & Thady Gosden·beaten 1.5 lengths
    2/5F·1.40
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Hapiness (IRE)
    Rossa Ryan·Ralph Beckett·beaten 4 lengths
    2/1·3.00
    SP
Race time
2m 28.52s+3.82s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Frank Stamper (GB))

up with the pace - moved to second 4f out - challenged the leader 3f out - driven over 2f out - took command over 1f out - stayed on well - in control at the finish

Settled · 1pt level stake = 16.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Tropbien

Tropbien improved on his debut to finish a close fourth at Sandown and looks set to benefit further from the step up in trip today; both previews expect him to improve again. Sharp Move won at Newcastle by a wide margin but returns after a lengthy break conceding plenty of weight, which is the key uncertainty. Hapiness runs with credit in both starts and rates the obvious danger. Tropbien is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Frank Stamper

Marco Ghiani · Tony Carroll · 4yo

Top-rated of 8
score 47.8 · +16.5 clear of next best (31.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    50average
    Tony Carroll: 8/40 winners last 14d (20%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    48below average
    OR 72 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    47below average
    Last 6: 5-3-4-4
  • Freshness10% weight
    45below average
    279d since last run (long absence)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Windsor 1m3½f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.21).

Low (1–3)
IV 0.96
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.21
High (7–9)
IV 0.85

Today: Frank Stamper (draw 5) and Ice To Meet You (draw 6) get the bias; Sharp Move (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 157 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
J: Marco Ghiani · T: Tony Carroll · draw 5
4yo · G · ch
5344
7247.8
16/1·17.00
SP
28
3yo · C · b
94
22.4
2/5F·1.40
SP
39
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 9
3yo · F · b
23
27.2
2/1·3.00
SP
42
J: Josephine Gordon · T: Keiran Burke · draw 7
5yo · G · b
9
23.7
125/1·126.00
SP
56
3yo · G · b
19.0
12/1·13.00
SP
64
J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Mike Murphy · draw 6
4yo · G · b
90
30.4
200/1·201.00
SP
75
J: Harry Davies · T: James Owen · draw 3
6yo · G · bl
6
19.0
22/1·23.00
SP
87
J: William Carson · T: Tony Carroll · draw 1
3yo · G · b
58
21.8
66/1·67.00
SP
J: NON-RUNNER · T: William Haggas · draw 8
4yo · C · b
41
31.3

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:00 Windsor on 29 June 2026?

Frank Stamper (GB) won the 18:00 Windsor at SP 17.00. Ridden by Marco Ghiani. Trained by Tony Carroll.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:00 Windsor?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Frank Stamper, won the race (AI score 47.8).

What were the placings in the 18:00 Windsor?

Top finishers: 1. Frank Stamper (GB) (17.00), 2. Tropbien (GB) (1.40), 3. Hapiness (IRE) (3.00).

What was the winning time for the 18:00 Windsor?

The winning time was 2m 28.52s, 3.82s slower than standard.

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