16:43 Brighton

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7f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 11 runners · £3,454 · Tuesday, 30 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd

1st
Prefer The Sister (IRE)
Paddy Bradley·James Owen
9/4·3.25
SP
2nd
Havana Mojito (GB)
Jack Callan·John Gallagher·beaten 5.5 lengths
2/1F·3.00
SP
3rd
Dion Baker (IRE)AI top pick · 63.2
J F Egan·Michael Wigham·beaten 0.3 lengths
5/2·3.50
SP

Race time

1m 22.87s+4.17s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Prefer The Sister (IRE))

“Tracked the leading group - shaken into contention over 1f out - led inside the final furlong - quickened clear comfortably”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Havana Mojito

Havana Mojito heads our ratings and brings the right credentials, finishing second here eight days ago in a performance that marks him as the one to beat off today's terms — the weight swing from that run works in his favour. Dion Baker has won three in a row including at this course and distance and is clearly the main danger, though he carries more weight this time, which could be decisive. Starsong and Joycean Way make the race wider still. Havana Mojito is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Dion Baker

J F Egan · Michael Wigham · 7yo

Top-rated of 11

score 63.2 · +19.1 clear of next best (44.1)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100small sample (n=5)
Michael Wigham: 4/5 winners last 14d (80%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Form20% weight
83very strong
Last 6: 7-4-4-1-1-1
Freshness10% weight
70strong
8d since last run (quick turnaround)
Ratings50% weight
39below average
OR 59 — highest combined rating in the field

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Brighton 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)

IV 0.97

Mid (5–8)

IV 0.93

High (9–11)

IV 1.09

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 152 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	7	Prefer The Sister J: Paddy Bradley · T: James Owen · draw 6 6yo · M · bt	07423	9-07	53	—	—	43.0	9/4·3.25 SP
2	2	Havana Mojito J: Jack Callan(3) · T: John Gallagher · draw 2 5yo · G · grb	04522	9-09	55	—	—	44.1	2/1F·3.00 SP
3	1	Dion Baker J: J F Egan · T: Michael Wigham · draw 5 7yo · G · bp	744111	9-13	59	—	—	63.2	5/2·3.50 SP
4	5	Jackson Street J: William Carson · T: Michael Attwater · draw 10 5yo · G · b	12764	9-08	54	—	—	34.6	50/1·51.00 SP
5	4	Starsong J: Harry Davies · T: Michael Appleby · draw 3 7yo · M · bp	29435	9-08	54	—	—	38.7	17/2·9.50 SP
6	8	Lunanova J: Jude Fernandes(7) · T: Luke Dace · draw 11 4yo · F · bh	96076	9-07	53	—	—	38.9	33/1·34.00 SP
7	3	Bear To Dream J: James Glennon(7) · T: Michael Attwater · draw 1 7yo · M · b	84267	9-08	54	—	—	31.5	25/1·26.00 SP
8	9	Henry Tudor J: Ashley Lewis(5) · T: Mark Hoad · draw 4 4yo · G · gr	49199	9-05	51	—	—	41.0	50/1·51.00 SP
9	6	Joycean Way J: Tom Queally · T: Gary & Josh Moore · draw 8 5yo · G · bb	48833	9-08	54	—	—	43.5	20/1·21.00 SP
10	10	Ridgeway Redwing J: Rose Dawes(5) · T: Denis Coakley · draw 7 4yo · F · bhFT H	0007	9-00	46	—	—	21.0	50/1·51.00 SP
11	11	Almavillalobas J: Dylan Hogan · T: Jim & Suzi Best · draw 9 6yo · M · ch	50008	9-00	46	—	—	24.9	150/1·151.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:43 Brighton on 30 June 2026?

Prefer The Sister (IRE) won the 16:43 Brighton at SP 3.25. Ridden by Paddy Bradley. Trained by James Owen.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:43 Brighton?

No — the AI top pick (Dion Baker) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 16:43 Brighton?

Top finishers: 1. Prefer The Sister (IRE) (3.25), 2. Havana Mojito (GB) (3.00), 3. Dion Baker (IRE) (3.50).

What was the winning time for the 16:43 Brighton?

The winning time was 1m 22.87s, 4.17s slower than standard.

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