Who won the 18:09 Ffos Las on 30 June 2026?
Egyptian Pharaoh (GB) won the 18:09 Ffos Las at SP 2.20. Ridden by Billy Loughnane. Trained by Oli Rix.
18:09 Ffos Las
Town And Country Cakes Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
1m2f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 7 runners · £5,400 · Tuesday, 30 June 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 5thRace report
- 1stEgyptian Pharaoh (GB)Billy Loughnane·Oli Rix6/5J·2.20SP
- 2ndDialstone (GB)Edward Greatrex·Ralph Beckett·beaten 0.2 lengths11/1·12.00SP
- 3rdLiberate (FR)Kaiya Fraser·Harry Eustace·beaten .5 lengths16/1·17.00SP
Race time
2m 8.19s+5.29s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
In-running (Egyptian Pharaoh (GB))
“Settled in fourth place - asked for effort 2f out - hit the front over 1f out - kicked clear inside the final furlong - advantage cut near the line - all out to hold on”
AI top-rated Mother Dear (score 56.0) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.20 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Egyptian Pharaoh
Egyptian Pharaoh has been consistently placed across recent starts and shapes as the most reliable runner in this novice contest; Mother Dear won last time out and is a clear danger, while Celestial Cen's narrow runner-up finish on her opening start marks her out as another serious threat. Egyptian Pharaoh is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Mother Dear
Rob Hornby · Hughie Morrison · 3yo
Top-rated of 7
score 56.0 · +7.6 clear of next best (48.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong38d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight70strongLast 6: 8-1
- Ratings50% weight50averageOR 75
- Trainer20% weight43small sample (n=6)Hughie Morrison: 1/6 winners last 14d (17%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ffos Las 1m2f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 0.95
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.01
High (7–8)
IV 1.04
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 43 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Oli Rix · draw 3 3yo · G · cht | 4233 | 78 | 48.4 | 6/5J·2.20 SP |
| 2 | 2 | J: Edward Greatrex · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 6 3yo · G · b | — | — | 21.0 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Harry Eustace · draw 1 3yo · C · b | 4 | — | 22.5 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 4 | 8 | J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: Archie Watson · draw 5 3yo · F · ch | 2 | — | 30.1 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 5 | 4 | J: Rob Hornby · T: Hughie Morrison · draw 8 3yo · F · ch | 81 | 75 | 56.0 | 6/5J·2.20 SP |
| 6 | 7 | J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Hughie Morrison · draw 2 3yo · G · b | 05 | — | 19.5 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 7 | 1 | J: Taylor Fisher · T: Alan Jones · draw 4 5yo · G · b | — | — | 25.0 | 150/1·151.00 SP |
| — | — | J: NON-RUNNER · T: William Haggas · draw 7 3yo · G · ch | 76 | — | 23.7 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:09 Ffos Las?
No — the AI top pick (Mother Dear) finished 5.
What were the placings in the 18:09 Ffos Las?
Top finishers: 1. Egyptian Pharaoh (GB) (2.20), 2. Dialstone (GB) (12.00), 3. Liberate (FR) (17.00).
What was the winning time for the 18:09 Ffos Las?
The winning time was 2m 8.19s, 5.29s slower than standard.
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