Who won the 14:30 Musselburgh on 30 June 2026?
Bear Lee (IRE) won the 14:30 Musselburgh at SP 9.00. Ridden by Billy Garritty. Trained by Michael & David Easterby.
14:30 Musselburgh
EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)
5f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 6 runners · £5,940 · Tuesday, 30 June 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stBear Lee (IRE)Billy Garritty·Michael & David Easterby8/1·9.00SP
- 2ndLexington Boom (GB)Oliver Stammers·Grant Tuer·beaten 2.75 lengths9/2·5.50SP
- 3rdTurnstile (GB)AI top pick · 51.7David Allan·Tim Easterby·beaten .5 lengths2/5F·1.40SP
Race time
59.04s+1.54s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
In-running (Bear Lee (IRE))
“Settled at the back - switched right and hampered a rival when moving towards the centre over 1f out - led inside the final furlong - went clear in the closing 110 yards - won readily”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.40 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Turnstile
Turnstile tops our figures and has shown admirable consistency, not least when third in a seller at York last time, and rates the one to beat in this maiden. Heffernan Kingdom is the chief threat, having only just failed to hold on in front last time and sure to be helped by today's slightly shorter trip, while Bear Lee made late headway on debut and should improve for the experience. Turnstile is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Turnstile
David Allan · Tim Easterby · 2yo
Top-rated of 6
score 51.7 · +25.4 clear of next best (26.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong18d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight49below averageLast 6: 4-3-4-7-3-3
- Ratings50% weight48below averageOR 72 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight40below averageTim Easterby: 16/98 winners last 14d (16%)
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Musselburgh 5f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.25).
Low (1–3)
IV 0.89
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.85
High (6–7)
IV 1.25
Today: Turnstile (draw 7) and Dadawada (draw 6) get the bias; Heffernan Kingdom (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 91 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | J: Billy Garritty · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 1 2yo · F · b | 4 | — | 22.5 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Oliver Stammers · T: Grant Tuer · draw 3 2yo · C · b | — | — | 25.0 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 3 | 2 | J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 7 2yo · C · ch | 434733 | 72 | 51.7 | 2/5F·1.40 SP |
| 4 | 3 | J: David Nolan · T: Rebecca Menzies · draw 2 2yo · G · b | 80 | — | 10.7 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
| 5 | 7 | J: Sam James · T: Gemma Tutty · draw 6 2yo · F · b | — | — | 21.5 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 6 | 1 | J: Jason Hart · T: Katie Scott · draw 4 2yo · G · b | 5 | — | 16.0 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| — | — | J: · T: Ben Haslam · draw 5 2yo · F · b | 63 | — | 26.3 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:30 Musselburgh?
No — the AI top pick (Turnstile) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 14:30 Musselburgh?
Top finishers: 1. Bear Lee (IRE) (9.00), 2. Lexington Boom (GB) (5.50), 3. Turnstile (GB) (1.40).
What was the winning time for the 14:30 Musselburgh?
The winning time was 59.04s, 1.54s slower than standard.
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