Who won the 16:30 Musselburgh on 30 June 2026?
Is She Now (IRE) won the 16:30 Musselburgh at SP 2.25. Ridden by David Nolan. Trained by Daragh Bourke.
16:30 Musselburgh
Catherine & Charlotte Roche Handicap
1m4½f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 6 runners · £3,664 · Tuesday, 30 June 2026
Result
Result settledRace report
- 1stIs She Now (IRE)David Nolan·Daragh Bourke5/4F·2.25SP
- 2ndFalaise Blanc (FR)Jason Hart·Katie Scott·beaten 2.75 lengths100/30·4.33SP
- 3rdSophiesticate (IRE)Kyle McHugh·R Mike Smith·beaten 0.3 lengths11/2·6.50SP
Race time
2m 42.67s+4.87s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
In-running (Is She Now (IRE))
“Off the pace in rear - made controlled progress from 3f out - hit the front over 1f out with plenty in hand - asserted quickly inside the final furlong - drew clear”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Gemini Man
Gemini Man has three wins from his last five starts and most recently outstayed rivals here over course and distance off a lower mark; he handles this trip and going well and looks the one to beat despite a tighter mark. Sophiesticate and Is She Now each bring valid claims — the former having gone close here recently, the latter showing much better form on her latest start — with Falaise Blanc also in the picture. Gemini Man is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Gemini Man
Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine · 8yo
Top-rated of 6
score 57.9 · +5.3 clear of next best (52.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight91very strongLast 6: 5-1-2-1-1
- Trainer20% weight70strongIain Jardine: 8/29 winners last 14d (28%)
- Freshness10% weight70strong8d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Ratings50% weight37below averageOR 56 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Musselburgh 1m4½f
full course data →Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.17).
Low (1–2)
IV 1.17
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.64
High (5–6)
IV 1.13
Today: Is She Now (draw 2) and Storm On Jura (draw 1) get the bias; Falaise Blanc (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 54 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: David Nolan · T: Daragh Bourke · draw 2 8yo · M · ch | 94901 | 52 | 52.5 | 5/4F·2.25 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Jason Hart · T: Katie Scott · draw 4 4yo · G · bv | 068242 | 46 | 35.6 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| 3 | 2 | J: Kyle McHugh(7) · T: R Mike Smith · draw 6 7yo · M · b | 77763 | 52 | 30.6 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 1 4yo · F · b | 89096 | 50 | 31.1 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 5 | 6 | J: Greg Fairley · T: Gary Rutherford · draw 3 5yo · M · b | 62395 | 45 | 29.1 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| PU | 1 | J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 5 8yo · G · b | 51211 | 56 | 57.9 | 5/2·3.50 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:30 Musselburgh?
No — the AI top pick (Gemini Man) finished PU.
What were the placings in the 16:30 Musselburgh?
Top finishers: 1. Is She Now (IRE) (2.25), 2. Falaise Blanc (FR) (4.33), 3. Sophiesticate (IRE) (6.50).
What was the winning time for the 16:30 Musselburgh?
The winning time was 2m 42.67s, 4.87s slower than standard.
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