14:00 Musselburgh

Melissa, Arabella And Oriana Hawthorne Handicap

1m1f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 7 runners · £3,664 · Tuesday, 30 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd

1st
Mayor Of Maghera (GB)
Daniel Tudhope·R Mike Smith
7/4F·2.75
SP
2nd
Perfidia (IRE)AI top pick · 45.5
Jake Dickson·Tim Easterby·beaten 0.1 lengths
5/2·3.50
SP
3rd
Second Fiddle (IRE)
Aiden Brookes·Iain Jardine·beaten 0.05 lengths
11/2·6.50
SP

Race time

1m 52.84s+2.94s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Mayor Of Maghera (GB))

“Made all and built a two-length advantage over 3f out - headed over 1f out - ridden hard in the final 110 yards - found more to regain the lead in the final strides”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Perfidia

Perfidia arrives in the form of his life, having won a handicap by a length off this exact mark at Nottingham five days ago and coming here without a penalty. The fact that success came in an apprentice race is a note of caution, but he has clear claims in this modest Class 6. Mayor Of Maghera and Approaching Dawn are the chief dangers on fair marks. Perfidia is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Perfidia

Jake Dickson(7) · Tim Easterby · 4yo

Top-rated of 7

score 45.5 · +1.4 clear of next best (44.1)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
70strong
5d since last run (quick turnaround)
Form20% weight
58average
Last 6: 2-1-3-5-9-1
Trainer20% weight
40below average
Tim Easterby: 16/98 winners last 14d (16%)
Ratings50% weight
38below average
OR 57

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Musselburgh 1m1f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)

IV 0.98

Mid (4–5)

IV 1.19

High (6–7)

IV 0.85

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 28 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	2	Mayor Of Maghera J: Daniel Tudhope · T: R Mike Smith · draw 3 4yo · G · bpFT P	66434	9-07	61	—	—	36.1	7/4F·2.75 SP
2	5	Perfidia J: Jake Dickson(7) · T: Tim Easterby · draw 1 4yo · G · bp	213591	9-03	57	—	—	45.5	5/2·3.50 SP
3	4	Second Fiddle J: Aiden Brookes · T: Iain Jardine · draw 2 7yo · M · bt	700804	9-06	60	—	—	44.1	11/2·6.50 SP
4	7	Approaching Dawn J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 7 6yo · G · ch	875193	8-06	46	—	—	36.6	10/1·11.00 SP
5	1	Keats House J: Joanna Mason · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 6 4yo · G · b	42775	9-09	63	—	—	40.6	15/2·8.50 SP
6	3	Bay Dream Believer J: Jason Hart · T: Mark Walford · draw 5 7yo · M · bh	00517	9-07	61	—	—	40.9	11/1·12.00 SP
7	6	Without Delay J: Amie Waugh(3) · T: Tracy Waggott · draw 4 7yo · M · chp	00530	8-07	47	—	—	28.6	22/1·23.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:00 Musselburgh on 30 June 2026?

Mayor Of Maghera (GB) won the 14:00 Musselburgh at SP 2.75. Ridden by Daniel Tudhope. Trained by R Mike Smith.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:00 Musselburgh?

No — the AI top pick (Perfidia) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 14:00 Musselburgh?

Top finishers: 1. Mayor Of Maghera (GB) (2.75), 2. Perfidia (IRE) (3.50), 3. Second Fiddle (IRE) (6.50).

What was the winning time for the 14:00 Musselburgh?

The winning time was 1m 52.84s, 2.94s slower than standard.

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