20:18 Bath

MJ Church Handicap

1m · Flat · Class 5 · Firm · 7 runners · £4,187 · Wednesday, 1 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd

1st
Nakaaha (GB)
David Egan·Grace Harris
7/2·4.50
SP
2nd
Swiped (GB)AI top pick · 54.7
Edward Greatrex·Ralph Beckett·beaten 1.75 lengths
4/5F·1.80
SP
3rd
Thiscouldbefun (IRE)
Ashley Lewis·J S Moore·beaten 2.25 lengths
12/1·13.00
SP

Race time

1m 39.34s+2.84s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Nakaaha (GB))

“Pressed the leader - forged into front 2f out - drew away without fuss - sent clear over 1f out - eased down well inside final furlong”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.80 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Swiped

Swiped showed he was going the right way when landing a course-and-distance success last time with something to spare, and his seven-pound rise looks unlikely to stop a horse still on the up. Post Rider shaped with credit when third in a handicap on her return to action and must be respected, while Sant Alessio — back near his last winning mark and with some excuse for his runs this season — is also feared. Our selection is Swiped.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Swiped

Edward Greatrex · Ralph Beckett · 3yo

Top-rated of 7

score 54.7 · +0.9 clear of next best (53.8)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
18d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
66strong
Last 6: 5-5-5-2-1
Ratings50% weight
48below average
OR 72
Trainer20% weight
38below average
Ralph Beckett: 9/59 winners last 14d (15%)

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Bath 1m

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.18).

Low (1–3)

IV 1.18

Mid (4–5)

IV 0.97

High (6–7)

IV 0.82

Today: Post Rider (draw 2) and Sant Alessio (draw 1) get the bias; Swiped (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 106 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	2	Nakaaha J: David Egan · T: Grace Harris · draw 3 4yo · F · bh	02556	10-00	73	—	—	43.5	7/2·4.50 SP
2	5	Swiped J: Edward Greatrex · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 6 3yo · G · bb	55521	9-04	72	—	—	54.7	4/5F·1.80 SP
3	4	Thiscouldbefun J: Ashley Lewis(5) · T: J S Moore · draw 4 4yo · F · bp	16460	9-05	64	—	—	40.1	12/1·13.00 SP
4	3	Sant Alessio J: Taylor Fisher · T: Joe Tickle · draw 1 5yo · G · b	02107	9-10	69	—	—	48.6	10/1·11.00 SP
5	1	Post Rider J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Oliver Cole · draw 2 5yo · M · ch	18273	10-02	75	—	—	50.0	11/2·6.50 SP
6	6	Naval Ensign J: Ben Ffrench Davis(5) · T: Nikki Evans · draw 5 4yo · F · bht	61584	9-00	59	—	—	53.8	50/1·51.00 SP
7	7	Ebn Sabt J: Gina Mangan · T: Ben Lund · draw 7 3yo · G · grb	146770	8-07	61	—	—	34.0	125/1·126.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 20:18 Bath on 1 July 2026?

Nakaaha (GB) won the 20:18 Bath at SP 4.50. Ridden by David Egan. Trained by Grace Harris.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:18 Bath?

No — the AI top pick (Swiped) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 20:18 Bath?

Top finishers: 1. Nakaaha (GB) (4.50), 2. Swiped (GB) (1.80), 3. Thiscouldbefun (IRE) (13.00).

What was the winning time for the 20:18 Bath?

The winning time was 1m 39.34s, 2.84s slower than standard.

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